Telavi
vs
Samtredia
0 – 3 Full time
| 4′ | L. Tsulaia | ||
| 13′ | J. Cordero Gonzalez | ||
| 13′ | A. Ananidze | ||
| 26′ | K. Asamoah | ||
| 39′ | G. Kharebashvili | ||
| 41′ | G. Mandzhgaladze | ||
| 46′ | D. GogotishviliD. Skhirtladze | ||
| 53′ | M. Gaye | ||
| 59′ | P. Marakvelidze | ||
| 61′ | A. DatuashviliD. Kutalia | ||
| 64′ | G. Nikabadze | ||
| 66′ | J. Cordero Gonzalez | ||
| 68′ | G. Latsabidze | ||
| 71′ | G. NikabadzeG. Ivaniadze | ||
| 71′ | T. Odikadze | ||
| 73′ | J. Cordero GonzalezL. Gogitadze | ||
| 77′ | O. GagnidzeE. Ayuk | ||
| 77′ | T. OdikadzeG. Kveladze | ||
| 81′ | K. AsamoahG. Chkhetiani | ||
| 81′ | G. KharebashviliJ. Iobashvili | ||
| 83′ | D. GvasaliaE. Barrios | ||
| 83′ | L. TsulaiaB. Lopez | ||
| 87′ | L. Gogitadze |
Telavi vs Samtredia overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Telavi vs Samtredia
| Probability | Telavi | Draw | Samtredia |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 46.3% | 29.8% | 24.0% |
| Market | 50.7% | 26.7% | 22.6% |
| Final | 49.6% | 27.5% | 22.9% |
| Edge | -4.5% | +3.1% | +1.4% |
Why Telavi
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Telavi and Samtredia expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.33
Telavi and Samtredia attack and defence ratings
Telavi
Samtredia
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Telavi vs Samtredia: result vs prediction
Telavi 0 – 3 Samtredia
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 24 fixtures
Before and after this match
Telavi vs Samtredia markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 49.6% | 2.02 | -4.5% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 53.7% | 1.86 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Telavi | 49.6% |
| Draw | 27.5% | |
| Samtredia | 22.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 41.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 58.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 46.9% |
| No | 53.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Telavi win | 23.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.3% | |
| Loss | 53.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.0% |
| 1-0 | 12.3% | |
| 0-0 | 11.0% |
Telavi vs Samtredia stats
Telavi and Samtredia recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Telavi and Samtredia going into this match
Telavi record
- They have won 11 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 12 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 6 of 24 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 6 matches.
- 34% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Samtredia record
- They have won 9 of their 24 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 24 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 24 matches.
- They have converted 6 of 7 penalties (86%).
- 37% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Telavi vs Samtredia head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-24 | Samtredia | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 0-3 |
| 2026-04-07 | Telavi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga 2 | 2-0 |
| 2024-12-02 | Telavi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 5-2 |
| 2024-09-26 | Samtredia | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 2-1 |
| 2024-05-28 | Telavi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-11 | Samtredia | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 1-2 |
| 2023-10-02 | Telavi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 1-1 |
| 2023-08-06 | Samtredia | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 0-2 |
| 2023-04-26 | Telavi | Samtredia | Erovnuli Liga | 0-1 |
| 2023-02-25 | Samtredia | Telavi | Erovnuli Liga | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Telavi vs Samtredia odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 50.7%, draw 26.7%, away 22.6%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.78 | 3.40 | 4.25 |
| Bet365 | 1.80 | 3.40 | 3.80 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
4 snapshots recorded, from .