DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin

2 – 4 Full time

Eintracht-Stadion, BraunschweigReferee: S. Storks

Eintracht Braunschweig 24%
Draw 25%
Union Berlin 51%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEintracht BraunschweigDrawUnion Berlin
Model17.1%24.9%58.0%
Market25.7%25.4%48.9%
Final23.5%25.3%51.2%
Edge-8.6%-0.5%+9.1%

Confidence: Medium

Why Union Berlin

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.93.
  • The market prices Union Berlin below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eintracht Brau ↓ / Union Berlin → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 11% 11% 6% 1 12% 10% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 76%
3+ goals 51%
No goals 8%

Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin expected goals

Eintracht Braunschweig 0.93
Union Berlin 1.78

Total expected goals: 2.71

Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin attack and defence ratings

Eintracht Braunschweig

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.81 -19%

Union Berlin

Attack 0.90 -10%
Defence 1.10 +10%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin: result vs prediction

Eintracht Braunschweig 2 – 4 Union Berlin

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Union Berlin 51.2% 1.95 +9.1% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 50.9% 1.96 — —
Both teams to score Yes 50.6% 1.98 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 76.5% 1.31 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 43.7% 2.29 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eintracht Braunschweig23.5%
Draw25.3%
Union Berlin51.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.550.9%
Under 2.549.1%
Both teams to scoreYes50.6%
No49.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)48.8%
12 (either side)74.7%
X2 (draw or away)76.5%
Handicap -1Union Berlin win32.6%
Push (exactly one goal)23.7%
Loss43.7%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
0-111.0%
0-211.0%

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin stats

Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 25.4%, away 49.0%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 3.70 3.70 1.82
1xBet 3.67 3.68 1.91
888Sport 3.50 3.50 1.95
Bet365 3.70 3.70 1.95
BetVictor 3.40 3.70 1.87
Betano 3.70 3.65 1.90
Betfair 3.60 3.90 1.91
Dafabet 3.70 3.80 1.98
Marathonbet 3.68 3.68 1.89
Pinnacle 3.64 3.81 1.94
SBO 3.18 3.28 1.89
Superbet 3.55 3.65 1.95
Unibet 3.90 3.85 1.85
William Hill 3.50 3.50 1.95

Odds movement

Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.

1 3.64 ▼ -0.06
X 3.68 ▼ -0.02
2 1.91 ▲ +0.03

3 snapshots recorded, from .