Eintracht Braunschweig
vs
Union Berlin
2 – 4 Full time
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin
| Probability | Eintracht Braunschweig | Draw | Union Berlin |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 17.1% | 24.9% | 58.0% |
| Market | 25.7% | 25.4% | 48.9% |
| Final | 23.5% | 25.3% | 51.2% |
| Edge | -8.6% | -0.5% | +9.1% |
Why Union Berlin
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.78 vs 0.93.
- The market prices Union Berlin below the model: +9.1 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin attack and defence ratings
Eintracht Braunschweig
Union Berlin
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin: result vs prediction
Eintracht Braunschweig 2 – 4 Union Berlin
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Union Berlin | 51.2% | 1.95 | +9.1% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.5% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.7% | 2.29 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 23.5% |
| Draw | 25.3% | |
| Union Berlin | 51.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.6% |
| No | 49.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Union Berlin win | 32.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 23.7% | |
| Loss | 43.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.9% |
| 0-1 | 11.0% | |
| 0-2 | 11.0% |
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin stats
Eintracht Braunschweig and Union Berlin recent form
| LWLWLW | |
| WWDLLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Eintracht Braunschweig vs Union Berlin odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 25.6%, draw 25.4%, away 49.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.82 |
| 1xBet | 3.67 | 3.68 | 1.91 |
| 888Sport | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
| Bet365 | 3.70 | 3.70 | 1.95 |
| BetVictor | 3.40 | 3.70 | 1.87 |
| Betano | 3.70 | 3.65 | 1.90 |
| Betfair | 3.60 | 3.90 | 1.91 |
| Dafabet | 3.70 | 3.80 | 1.98 |
| Marathonbet | 3.68 | 3.68 | 1.89 |
| Pinnacle | 3.64 | 3.81 | 1.94 |
| SBO | 3.18 | 3.28 | 1.89 |
| Superbet | 3.55 | 3.65 | 1.95 |
| Unibet | 3.90 | 3.85 | 1.85 |
| William Hill | 3.50 | 3.50 | 1.95 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
3 snapshots recorded, from .