DFB Pokal · Full time ·Round of 64

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig

0 – 6 Full time

Moselstadion, TrierReferee: M. P. Eckermann

Eintracht Trier 4%
Draw 8%
RasenBallsport Leipzig 88%

Confidence: Medium  ·  blended with market odds

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityEintracht TrierDrawRasenBallsport Leipzig
Model10.4%15.2%74.4%
Market2.3%5.6%92.1%
Final4.3%8.0%87.7%
Edge+8.1%+9.6%-17.7%

Confidence: Medium

Why RasenBallsport Leipzig

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 3.03 vs 1.01.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Eintracht Trie ↓ / RasenBallsport → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 8% 13% 1 8% 8% 13% 2 7% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 98%
2+ goals 92%
3+ goals 77%
No goals 2%

Eintracht Trier and RasenBallsport Leipzig expected goals

Eintracht Trier 1.01
RasenBallsport Leipzig 3.03

Total expected goals: 4.03

Eintracht Trier and RasenBallsport Leipzig attack and defence ratings

Eintracht Trier

Attack 1.00 +0%
Defence 1.00 +0%

RasenBallsport Leipzig

Attack 1.26 +26%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig: result vs prediction

Eintracht Trier 0 – 6 RasenBallsport Leipzig

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✗ Incorrect

Other Round of 64 fixtures

DFB Pokal

Before and after this match

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 RasenBallsport Leipzig 87.7% 1.14 -17.7% —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 76.3% 1.31 — —
Both teams to score Yes 63.0% 1.59 — —
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 95.7% 1.05 — —
Handicap -1 RasenBallsport Leipzig win 58.9% 1.70 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Eintracht Trier4.3%
Draw8.0%
RasenBallsport Leipzig87.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.576.3%
Under 2.523.7%
Both teams to scoreYes63.0%
No37.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)12.3%
12 (either side)92.0%
X2 (draw or away)95.7%
Handicap -1RasenBallsport Leipzig win58.9%
Push (exactly one goal)18.4%
Loss22.8%
Correct score (top 3)1-28.4%
1-38.2%
0-27.8%

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig stats

Eintracht Trier and RasenBallsport Leipzig recent form

newest first
Eintracht Trier no matches on record
RasenBallsport Leipzig LWLWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Eintracht Trier vs RasenBallsport Leipzig odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 2.3%, draw 5.6%, away 92.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
10Bet 38.00 12.50 1.02
1xBet 38.00 17.00 1.01
888Sport 46.00 17.00 1.04
Bet365 41.00 21.00 1.02
BetVictor 34.00 11.00 1.03
Betano 45.00 12.50 1.03
Betfair 71.00 23.00 1.03
Dafabet 60.00 21.00 1.02
Marathonbet 38.00 17.00 1.01
Pinnacle 41.21 20.72 1.03
Superbet 50.00 22.00 1.02
Unibet 26.00 12.50 1.04
William Hill 46.00 17.00 1.04

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.