DFB Pokal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Lüneburger SK Hansa
vs
Werder Bremen
0 – 3 Full time
Lüneburger SK Hansa
23%
Draw
26%
Werder Bremen
51%
Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen
| Probability | Lüneburger SK Hansa | Draw | Werder Bremen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 23.4% | 25.5% | 51.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 23.4% | 25.5% | 51.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Werder Bremen
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 1.11.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
56%
No goals
7%
Lüneburger SK Hansa and Werder Bremen expected goals
Lüneburger SK Hansa
1.11
Werder Bremen
1.80
Total expected goals: 2.91
Lüneburger SK Hansa and Werder Bremen attack and defence ratings
Lüneburger SK Hansa
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Werder Bremen
Attack
0.78 -22%
Defence
1.16 +16%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen: result vs prediction
Lüneburger SK Hansa 0 – 3 Werder Bremen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Werder Bremen | 51.1% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 76.6% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 47.8% | 2.09 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Lüneburger SK Hansa | 23.4% |
| Draw | 25.5% | |
| Werder Bremen | 51.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.8% |
| No | 42.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 48.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 76.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | Werder Bremen win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 47.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.0% |
| 1-2 | 9.7% | |
| 0-2 | 8.5% |
Lüneburger SK Hansa vs Werder Bremen stats
Lüneburger SK Hansa and Werder Bremen recent form
| Lüneburger SK Hansa |
no matches on record |
| Werder Bremen |
LLLDWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.