DFB Pokal
·
Full time
·Round of 64
Phönix Lübeck
vs
SC Paderborn 07
2 – 4 Full time
Phönix Lübeck
8%
Draw
13%
SC Paderborn 07
80%
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07
| Probability | Phönix Lübeck | Draw | SC Paderborn 07 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 10.0% | 16.2% | 73.8% |
| Market | 6.9% | 11.4% | 81.7% |
| Final | 7.7% | 12.6% | 79.7% |
| Edge | +3.1% | +4.8% | -7.9% |
Why SC Paderborn 07
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.78 vs 0.93.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
72%
No goals
3%
Phönix Lübeck and SC Paderborn 07 expected goals
Phönix Lübeck
0.93
SC Paderborn 07
2.78
Total expected goals: 3.71
Phönix Lübeck and SC Paderborn 07 attack and defence ratings
Phönix Lübeck
Attack
1.00 +0%
Defence
1.00 +0%
SC Paderborn 07
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07: result vs prediction
Phönix Lübeck 2 – 4 SC Paderborn 07
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Round of 64 fixtures
- Preußen Münster v Karlsruher SC — match page
- Waldhof Mannheim vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern — team news & stats
- SC St. Tönis vs Eintracht Frankfurt
- Hansa Rostock v VfB Stuttgart — match page
- SV Wehen vs Bayer Leverkusen — team news & stats
- Energie Cottbus vs Augsburg
- MSV Duisburg v SV Elversberg — match page
- Erzgebirge Aue vs Hoffenheim — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | SC Paderborn 07 | 79.7% | 1.25 | -7.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% | 1.73 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 92.3% | 1.08 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | SC Paderborn 07 win | 55.5% | 1.80 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Phönix Lübeck | 7.7% |
| Draw | 12.6% | |
| SC Paderborn 07 | 79.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 58.0% |
| No | 42.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 20.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 87.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 92.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | SC Paderborn 07 win | 55.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 24.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-2 | 9.4% |
| 1-2 | 9.0% | |
| 0-3 | 8.5% |
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 stats
Phönix Lübeck and SC Paderborn 07 recent form
| Phönix Lübeck |
no matches on record |
| SC Paderborn 07 |
WDLLDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 head-to-head
No recent meetings on record
Phönix Lübeck vs SC Paderborn 07 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 6.9%, draw 11.4%, away 81.7%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 14.50 | 8.20 | 1.13 |
| 888Sport | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 |
| Bet365 | 15.00 | 8.00 | 1.14 |
| BetVictor | 13.00 | 8.50 | 1.11 |
| Betano | 12.50 | 7.60 | 1.16 |
| Betfair | 16.00 | 9.50 | 1.13 |
| Dafabet | 14.00 | 9.20 | 1.16 |
| Marathonbet | 14.50 | 8.20 | 1.14 |
| Pinnacle | 12.46 | 7.90 | 1.14 |
| Superbet | 12.00 | 8.30 | 1.14 |
| Unibet | 18.00 | 10.50 | 1.09 |
| William Hill | 13.00 | 7.50 | 1.15 |