Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United

Garuda Lions Prediction: Aduana Stars

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.67.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Agyeman Badu Stadium, Dormaa Ahenkro

Aduana Stars 55%
Draw 29%
Bechem United 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Aduana Stars wins
55%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
38%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
16% of simulated outcomes

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Aduana Stars vs Bechem United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAduana StarsDrawBechem United
Model54.6%29.3%16.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final54.6%29.3%16.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Aduana Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.67.

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United match preview

Aduana Stars are set to face Bechem United in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Aduana Stars have a 55% chance of winning, while a draw stands at 29% and Bechem United at 16%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Aduana Stars, with an expected goals tally of 1.44 for Aduana Stars compared to 0.67 for Bechem United.

In terms of recent form, Aduana Stars have recorded a mixed set of results with a sequence of draws and wins, while Bechem United has struggled with their last few matches, alternating between wins and losses. The head-to-head record shows both teams with one win each in their last two encounters. Overall, the confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Aduana Stars ↓ / Bechem United β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 1 16% 13% 2 13% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 63%
3+ goals 35%
No goals 13%

Aduana Stars and Bechem United expected goals

Aduana Stars 1.44
Bechem United 0.67

Total expected goals: 2.11

Aduana Stars and Bechem United attack and defence ratings

Aduana Stars

Attack 0.87 -13%
Defence 0.70 -30%

Bechem United

Attack 1.44 +44%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Aduana Stars 54.6% 1.83 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 64.8% 1.54 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 61.7% 1.62 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.9% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 45.4% 2.20 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Aduana Stars54.6%
Draw29.3%
Bechem United16.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.535.2%
Under 2.564.8%
Both teams to scoreYes38.3%
No61.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.9%
12 (either side)70.7%
X2 (draw or away)45.4%
Handicap -1Aduana Stars win28.4%
Push (exactly one goal)26.2%
Loss45.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.4%
0-013.3%
1-112.8%

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United stats

Aduana Stars and Bechem United recent form

newest first
Aduana Stars DWLWLW
Bechem United WLWLWL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Aduana Stars and Bechem United season so far

league record

Aduana Stars record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.4 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 5 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
  • 38% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Bechem United record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

4Aduana Stars wins 2Draws 4Bechem United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-22Bechem UnitedAduana StarsGhana Premier League2-1
2025-10-12Aduana StarsBechem UnitedGhana Premier League2-1
2025-02-02Aduana StarsBechem UnitedPremier League1-0
2024-09-15Bechem UnitedAduana StarsPremier League0-0
2024-06-01Bechem UnitedAduana StarsPremier League1-0
2023-12-15Aduana StarsBechem UnitedPremier League1-0
2023-06-11Aduana StarsBechem UnitedPremier League1-0
2023-02-10Bechem UnitedAduana StarsPremier League0-0
2022-06-05Bechem UnitedAduana StarsPremier League1-0
2022-01-29Aduana StarsBechem UnitedPremier League0-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Aduana Stars vs Bechem United odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Aduana Stars Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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