Ghana Premier League · ·Matchday 11

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars

Garuda Lions Prediction: Asante Kotoko

1 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.89.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi

Asante Kotoko 49%
Draw 29%
Bibiani Gold Stars 22%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Asante Kotoko wins
49%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
46%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsante KotokoDrawBibiani Gold Stars
Model49.0%29.2%21.8%
Market———
Final49.0%29.2%21.8%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Asante Kotoko

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 0.89.

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars match preview

Asante Kotoko is set to face Bibiani Gold Stars in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 15, 2026. According to our model, Asante Kotoko holds a 49% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 29% and Bibiani Gold Stars at 22%. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0 in favor of Asante Kotoko, with an expected goals tally of 1.45 compared to Bibiani Gold Stars' 0.89.

In terms of recent form, Asante Kotoko has recorded a sequence of results including two draws and a win in their last five matches, while Bibiani Gold Stars has seen a draw, followed by two losses and a win in their recent outings. Historically, Asante Kotoko has dominated their last ten encounters against Bibiani Gold Stars, securing five wins and four draws, with Bibiani Gold Stars managing just one victory.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asante Kotoko ↓ / Bibiani Gold S → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 7% 1 13% 14% 2 10% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars expected goals

Asante Kotoko 1.45
Bibiani Gold Stars 0.89

Total expected goals: 2.34

Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars attack and defence ratings

Asante Kotoko

Attack 1.01 +1%
Defence 1.27 +27%

Bibiani Gold Stars

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.06 +6%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Asante Kotoko 49.0% 2.04 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 58.6% 1.71 — —
Both teams to score No 53.7% 1.86 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 78.2% 1.28 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 51.0% 1.96 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asante Kotoko49.0%
Draw29.2%
Bibiani Gold Stars21.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.541.4%
Under 2.558.6%
Both teams to scoreYes46.3%
No53.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)78.2%
12 (either side)70.8%
X2 (draw or away)51.0%
Handicap -1Asante Kotoko win25.1%
Push (exactly one goal)23.9%
Loss51.0%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.7%
1-012.8%
0-010.9%

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars stats

Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asante Kotoko and Bibiani Gold Stars season so far

league record

Asante Kotoko record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Bibiani Gold Stars record

  • They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 6 of 10 matches.
  • They have converted 1 of 3 penalties (33%).
  • 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars head-to-head

Last 10 meetings

5Asante Kotoko wins 4Draws 1Bibiani Gold Stars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-17Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoGhana Premier League0-0
2025-10-08Asante KotokoBibiani Gold StarsGhana Premier League2-0
2025-08-31Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoSuper Cup0-1
2025-05-25Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoPremier League0-0
2024-12-27Asante KotokoBibiani Gold StarsPremier League2-0
2024-03-01Asante KotokoBibiani Gold StarsPremier League1-0
2024-01-07Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoCup0-1
2023-09-23Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoPremier League2-1
2023-05-07Asante KotokoBibiani Gold StarsPremier League1-1
2023-01-16Bibiani Gold StarsAsante KotokoPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asante Kotoko vs Bibiani Gold Stars odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Asante Kotoko Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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