Ghana Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 11
Heart of Lions
vs
Dreams
1 – 2 Full time
Heart of Lions
50%
Draw
26%
Dreams
24%
Heart of Lions vs Dreams overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Heart of Lions vs Dreams
| Probability | Heart of Lions | Draw | Dreams |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 49.8% | 26.3% | 23.9% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 49.8% | 26.3% | 23.9% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Heart of Lions
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 1.11.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
78%
3+ goals
53%
No goals
7%
Heart of Lions and Dreams expected goals
Heart of Lions
1.70
Dreams
1.11
Total expected goals: 2.81
Heart of Lions and Dreams attack and defence ratings
Heart of Lions
Attack
1.05 +5%
Defence
1.56 +56%
Dreams
Attack
1.08 +8%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Heart of Lions vs Dreams: result vs prediction
Heart of Lions 1 – 2 Dreams
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 11 fixtures
- Ashanti Gold vs Karela — team news & stats
- Aduana Stars vs Bechem United
- Samartex vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats
- Debibi United vs Port City
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Medeama
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page
Before and after this match
Heart of Lions vs Dreams markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart of Lions | 49.8% | 2.01 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 50.2% | 1.99 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart of Lions | 49.8% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Dreams | 23.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 53.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 46.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 56.0% |
| No | 44.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 50.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heart of Lions win | 27.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 50.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 2-1 | 9.6% | |
| 1-0 | 9.1% |
Heart of Lions vs Dreams stats
Heart of Lions and Dreams recent form
| Heart of Lions |
LWLLLW |
| Dreams |
DWLDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Heart of Lions and Dreams going into this match
Heart of Lions record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Dreams record
- They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
Heart of Lions vs Dreams head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
3Heart of Lions wins
3Draws
3Dreams wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-15 | Dreams | Heart of Lions | Cup | 1-1 |
| 2026-01-11 | Dreams | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-09-14 | Heart of Lions | Dreams | Ghana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-03-19 | Heart of Lions | Dreams | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-12-01 | Dreams | Heart of Lions | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2024-09-23 | Dreams | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-05-19 | Dreams | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-01-07 | Heart of Lions | Dreams | Cup | 0-2 |
| 2024-01-04 | Heart of Lions | Dreams | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.