Ashanti Gold
vs
Karela
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ashanti Gold
1 – 0 Predicted score · 21% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.44.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ashanti Gold vs Karela
| Probability | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.9% | 29.4% | 10.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.9% | 29.4% | 10.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ashanti Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.39 vs 0.44.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela match preview
Ashanti Gold enters this match with a strong probability of winning at 62%, reflecting their recent form of three wins in their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.55, suggesting they are likely to create more scoring opportunities than Karela, who have an expected goals figure of just 0.49 and have struggled recently, with only one win in their last six matches.
The model predicts a most likely scoreline of 1-0, with a 19% chance of this outcome occurring. While there is a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals, both teams scoring is estimated at 32%. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ashanti Gold and Karela expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.83
Ashanti Gold and Karela attack and defence ratings
Ashanti Gold
Karela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Debibi United vs Port City
- Swedru All Blacks v Berekum Chelsea — match page
- Basake Holy Stars vs Vision — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Medeama
- Asante Kotoko v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page
Before and after this match
Ashanti Gold vs Karela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 59.9% | 1.67 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 72.1% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 72.2% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% | 1.12 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.1% | 2.50 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 59.9% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| Karela | 10.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 27.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 72.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 27.8% |
| No | 72.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win | 31.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 28.8% | |
| Loss | 40.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 21.2% |
| 0-0 | 16.9% | |
| 2-0 | 15.5% |
Ashanti Gold vs Karela stats
Ashanti Gold and Karela recent form
| Ashanti Gold |
DWDLWL |
| Karela |
DDLLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ashanti Gold and Karela season so far
Ashanti Gold record
- They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Karela record
- They have won 3 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.8 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Ashanti Gold vs Karela head-to-head
Last 6 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-06 | Karela | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2021-11-06 | Ashanti Gold | Karela | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2021-04-04 | Karela | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2020-11-15 | Ashanti Gold | Karela | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2020-03-15 | Karela | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2018-03-28 | Karela | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.