Ashanti Gold
vs
Young Apostles
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ashanti Gold
2 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.58.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles
| Probability | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Young Apostles |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 68.0% | 22.4% | 9.6% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 68.0% | 22.4% | 9.6% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ashanti Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.90 vs 0.58.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles match preview
Ashanti Gold enters this match with a solid probability of winning at 68%, reflecting their stronger recent form, which includes three wins in their last six matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.90, indicating a robust attacking performance, while their most likely scoreline is projected to be 2-0, occurring at a rate of 15%. In contrast, Young Apostles have struggled recently, with only one win in their last six matches and an expected goals figure of just 0.58.
The probability of a draw is estimated at 22%, while Young Apostles have a 10% chance of securing a victory. The model suggests a 45% likelihood of over 2.5 goals and a 38% chance that both teams will score. Overall, Ashanti Gold appears to be in a favorable position heading into this encounter.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles attack and defence ratings
Ashanti Gold
Young Apostles
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page
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Before and after this match
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.9% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win | 42.5% | 2.35 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 68.0% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Young Apostles | 9.6% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.4% |
| No | 61.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 90.4% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win | 42.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 32.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 15.1% |
| 1-0 | 15.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.2% |
Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles stats
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles recent form
| Ashanti Gold |
WDLWLW |
| Young Apostles |
DLLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Ashanti Gold and Young Apostles season so far
Ashanti Gold record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Young Apostles record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.