Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold

Garuda Lions Prediction: Swedru All Blacks

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 17% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.58.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Swedru Stadium, Agona Swedru

Swedru All Blacks 63%
Draw 26%
Ashanti Gold 12%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Swedru All Blacks wins
63%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
37%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
17% of simulated outcomes

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySwedru All BlacksDrawAshanti Gold
Model62.6%25.7%11.6%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final62.6%25.7%11.6%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Swedru All Blacks

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 0.58.

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold match preview

Swedru All Blacks are set to face Ashanti Gold in the Ghana Premier League on October 30, 2026. According to our model, Swedru All Blacks have a 63% probability of winning, while Ashanti Gold stands at 12%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0, with a 17% chance of occurring. The expected goals for Swedru All Blacks are 1.66, compared to Ashanti Gold's 0.58.

In terms of recent form, Swedru All Blacks have recorded two wins, one loss, and two draws in their last five matches, while Ashanti Gold has won three out of their last five. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 39%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 37%. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Swedru All Bla ↓ / Ashanti Gold β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 17% 11% 2 15% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 39%
No goals 12%

Swedru All Blacks and Ashanti Gold expected goals

Swedru All Blacks 1.66
Ashanti Gold 0.58

Total expected goals: 2.24

Swedru All Blacks and Ashanti Gold attack and defence ratings

Swedru All Blacks

Attack 1.12 +12%
Defence 0.80 -20%

Ashanti Gold

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Swedru All Blacks 62.6% 1.60 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.2% 1.63 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 63.3% 1.58 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 88.4% 1.13 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 37.4% 2.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Swedru All Blacks62.6%
Draw25.7%
Ashanti Gold11.6%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.8%
Under 2.561.2%
Both teams to scoreYes36.7%
No63.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)88.4%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)37.4%
Handicap -1Swedru All Blacks win36.0%
Push (exactly one goal)26.6%
Loss37.4%
Correct score (top 3)1-016.6%
2-014.6%
0-011.7%

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold stats

Swedru All Blacks and Ashanti Gold recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Swedru All Blacks and Ashanti Gold season so far

league record

Swedru All Blacks record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Ashanti Gold record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Swedru All Blacks vs Ashanti Gold odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Swedru All Blacks Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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