Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 10

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks

Garuda Lions Prediction: Medeama

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.85.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

TNA Park, Tarkwa

Medeama 59%
Draw 25%
Swedru All Blacks 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Medeama wins
59%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
49%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityMedeamaDrawSwedru All Blacks
Model58.8%24.9%16.2%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final58.8%24.9%16.2%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Medeama

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.80 vs 0.85.
  • Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks match preview

Medeama enters the match against Swedru All Blacks with a probability of 59% to secure a victory, while the visitors have a 16% chance of winning. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0 in favor of Medeama, with an expected goals tally of 1.80 for Medeama compared to 0.85 for Swedru All Blacks. Recent form shows Medeama has been consistent, with three wins in their last six matches, while Swedru All Blacks has fluctuated, alternating between wins and losses.

In their last two encounters, Medeama has recorded one win and one draw against Swedru All Blacks, who have yet to secure a victory in their recent meetings. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 49%, and both teams scoring also stands at 49%, indicating a potentially competitive match despite the differing probabilities.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Medeama ↓ / Swedru All Bla β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Medeama and Swedru All Blacks expected goals

Medeama 1.80
Swedru All Blacks 0.85

Total expected goals: 2.65

Medeama and Swedru All Blacks attack and defence ratings

Medeama

Attack 1.41 +41%
Defence 1.09 +9%

Swedru All Blacks

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 0.93 -7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Medeama 58.8% 1.70 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.6% 1.98 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 51.2% 1.95 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.8% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 41.2% 2.43 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Medeama58.8%
Draw24.9%
Swedru All Blacks16.2%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.4%
Under 2.550.6%
Both teams to scoreYes48.8%
No51.2%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.8%
12 (either side)75.1%
X2 (draw or away)41.2%
Handicap -1Medeama win34.6%
Push (exactly one goal)24.2%
Loss41.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.9%
1-011.7%
2-011.5%

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks stats

Medeama and Swedru All Blacks recent form

newest first
Medeama DWLWWW
Swedru All Blacks LWWWLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Medeama and Swedru All Blacks season so far

league record

Medeama record

  • They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
  • They average 2.2 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Swedru All Blacks record

  • They have won 4 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 8 matches.

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Medeama wins 1Draws 0Swedru All Blacks wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-03-01Swedru All BlacksMedeamaGhana Premier League0-0
2025-10-26MedeamaSwedru All BlacksGhana Premier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Medeama vs Swedru All Blacks odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Medeama Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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