Berekum Chelsea
vs
Asante Kotoko
Garuda Lions Prediction: Berekum Chelsea
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.65.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko
| Probability | Berekum Chelsea | Draw | Asante Kotoko |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 65.0% | 23.5% | 11.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 65.0% | 23.5% | 11.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Berekum Chelsea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.65.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko match preview
Berekum Chelsea is set to face Asante Kotoko in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 8, 2026. According to our model, Berekum Chelsea holds a 65% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 24% and Asante Kotoko at 11%. The expected goals for Berekum Chelsea are 1.85, compared to 0.65 for Asante Kotoko, suggesting a potential scoreline of 1-0, which has a likelihood of 14%.
In terms of recent form, Berekum Chelsea has recorded one win in their last six matches, alongside two draws and three losses. Meanwhile, Asante Kotoko has also struggled, with two wins and four draws in their last six games. The head-to-head record shows Berekum Chelsea has yet to secure a win against Asante Kotoko, who has one victory and one draw in their last two encounters.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko attack and defence ratings
Berekum Chelsea
Asante Kotoko
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 10 fixtures
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- Ashanti Gold vs Young Apostles — team news & stats
- Bechem United vs Samartex
- Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions — team news & stats
- Medeama v Swedru All Blacks — match page
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Aduana Stars — team news & stats
- Port City vs Basake Holy Stars
Before and after this match
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Berekum Chelsea | 65.0% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Berekum Chelsea win | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Berekum Chelsea | 65.0% |
| Draw | 23.5% | |
| Asante Kotoko | 11.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Berekum Chelsea win | 39.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 35.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.2% |
| 2-0 | 14.0% | |
| 1-1 | 10.9% |
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko stats
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko recent form
| Berekum Chelsea |
LDWWLD |
| Asante Kotoko |
DDWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Berekum Chelsea and Asante Kotoko season so far
Berekum Chelsea record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Asante Kotoko record
- They have won 3 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
Berekum Chelsea vs Asante Kotoko head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-11 | Asante Kotoko | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Berekum Chelsea | Asante Kotoko | Ghana Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.