Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 10

Karela vs Vision

Garuda Lions Prediction: Karela

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • WhyBetter recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Naa Sheriga Sports Centre, Nalerigu

Karela 41%
Draw 33%
Vision 26%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Karela wins
41%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
41%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Karela vs Vision overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Karela vs Vision

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityKarelaDrawVision
Model40.6%33.0%26.3%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final40.6%33.0%26.3%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Karela

  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Karela vs Vision match preview

Karela will face Vision in the Ghana Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 6, 2026. According to our model, Karela has a 41% probability of winning, while Vision stands at 26%, and the draw is estimated at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Karela, with a 14% chance of occurrence. Expected goals are calculated at 1.14 for Karela and 0.87 for Vision, indicating a slight advantage for the home side.

In terms of recent form, Karela has recorded a mixed performance with a record of D-L-L-W-L-W, while Vision's form shows D-W-L-L-D-D. The last four encounters between the two teams have seen Karela secure 1 win, 1 draw, and Vision with 2 wins. Our confidence grade for this matchup is C, reflecting a moderate level of certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Karela ↓ / Vision β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 10% 1 14% 15% 2 9% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Karela and Vision expected goals

Karela 1.14
Vision 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.01

Karela and Vision attack and defence ratings

Karela

Attack 0.80 -20%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Vision

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.04 +4%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 10 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Karela vs Vision markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Karela 40.6% 2.46 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.5% 1.48 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 59.3% 1.69 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 73.7% 1.36 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 59.4% 1.68 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Karela40.6%
Draw33.0%
Vision26.3%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.5%
Under 2.567.5%
Both teams to scoreYes40.7%
No59.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)73.7%
12 (either side)67.0%
X2 (draw or away)59.4%
Handicap -1Karela win17.7%
Push (exactly one goal)22.9%
Loss59.4%
Correct score (top 3)0-014.8%
1-114.6%
1-014.0%

Karela vs Vision stats

Karela and Vision recent form

newest first
Karela DLLWLW
Vision DWLLDD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Karela and Vision season so far

league record

Karela record

  • They have won 3 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.4 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Vision record

  • They have won 2 of their 9 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 9 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 9 matches.

Karela vs Vision head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Karela wins 1Draws 2Vision wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-10VisionKarelaGhana Premier League3-0
2025-12-21KarelaVisionGhana Premier League1-0
2025-05-25VisionKarelaPremier League1-0
2024-12-29KarelaVisionPremier League1-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Karela vs Vision odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Karela Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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