Hearts of Oak
vs
Heart of Lions
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hearts of Oak
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.45.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions
| Probability | Hearts of Oak | Draw | Heart of Lions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 67.2% | 24.4% | 8.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 67.2% | 24.4% | 8.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hearts of Oak
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.45.
Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions match preview
Hearts of Oak are favored to win against Heart of Lions with a 67% probability according to our model, while a draw stands at 24% and Heart of Lions at 8%. The expected goals for Hearts of Oak is 1.69, significantly higher than Heart of Lions' 0.45, suggesting a dominant offensive performance may be anticipated. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a probability of 19%.
In terms of recent form, Hearts of Oak have recorded one win in their last six matches, while Heart of Lions have shown slightly better form with three wins in their last six. The head-to-head record indicates that in their last two encounters, neither team has secured a win, resulting in two draws. The confidence grade for this match is C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the forecast.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hearts of Oak and Heart of Lions expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.14
Hearts of Oak and Heart of Lions attack and defence ratings
Hearts of Oak
Heart of Lions
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hearts of Oak | 67.2% | 1.49 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.0% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.7% | 1.43 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% | 1.09 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Hearts of Oak win | 39.6% | 2.52 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hearts of Oak | 67.2% |
| Draw | 24.4% | |
| Heart of Lions | 8.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 36.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.3% |
| No | 69.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 91.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 32.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hearts of Oak win | 39.6% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.6% | |
| Loss | 32.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.1% |
| 2-0 | 16.8% | |
| 0-0 | 12.7% |
Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions stats
Hearts of Oak and Heart of Lions recent form
| Hearts of Oak |
LWWWDL |
| Heart of Lions |
WLLLWW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Hearts of Oak and Heart of Lions season so far
Hearts of Oak record
- They have won 5 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
- They average 1.5 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
- They have kept 6 clean sheets in 8 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
Heart of Lions record
- They have won 2 of their 8 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 8 matches.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 31% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Hearts of Oak vs Heart of Lions head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-20 | Heart of Lions | Hearts of Oak | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-13 | Hearts of Oak | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.