Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United

Garuda Lions Prediction: Heart of Lions

2 – 1 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Kpandu stadium, Kpandu

Heart of Lions 43%
Draw 26%
Bechem United 31%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Heart of Lions wins
43%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
94%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
63%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 1
9% of simulated outcomes

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Heart of Lions vs Bechem United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHeart of LionsDrawBechem United
Model43.4%25.7%30.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final43.4%25.7%30.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United match preview

Heart of Lions are set to face Bechem United in the Ghana Premier League, with a 52% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Heart of Lions stand at 1.87, while Bechem United is projected to score 1.20. Recent form shows Heart of Lions with two losses, one win, one draw, and one loss in their last five matches, while Bechem United has a similar trend with two losses, two wins, and one draw.

The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-1 in favor of Heart of Lions, occurring with a 10% probability. Additionally, there is a 59% chance of over 2.5 goals scored in the match, and both teams are expected to score with a 60% likelihood. The head-to-head record from the last two encounters indicates one win for each team.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Heart of Lions ↓ / Bechem United β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 7% 12% 8% 2 6% 9% 6% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 94%
2+ goals 83%
3+ goals 60%
No goals 6%

Heart of Lions and Bechem United expected goals

Heart of Lions 1.70
Bechem United 1.41

Total expected goals: 3.10

Heart of Lions and Bechem United attack and defence ratings

Heart of Lions

Attack 1.07 +7%
Defence 1.46 +46%

Bechem United

Attack 1.43 +43%
Defence 1.14 +14%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Heart of Lions 43.4% 2.30 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 59.9% 1.67 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 62.7% 1.59 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 74.3% 1.35 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 56.6% 1.77 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Heart of Lions43.4%
Draw25.7%
Bechem United30.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.559.9%
Under 2.540.1%
Both teams to scoreYes62.7%
No37.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)69.1%
12 (either side)74.3%
X2 (draw or away)56.6%
Handicap -1Heart of Lions win23.3%
Push (exactly one goal)20.1%
Loss56.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-111.8%
2-19.1%
1-27.5%

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United stats

Heart of Lions and Bechem United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Heart of Lions and Bechem United season so far

league record

Heart of Lions record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Bechem United record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Heart of Lions wins 0Draws 1Bechem United wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-25Bechem UnitedHeart of LionsGhana Premier League1-0
2025-09-28Heart of LionsBechem UnitedGhana Premier League1-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Heart of Lions vs Bechem United odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Heart of Lions Predicted score 2 – 1 Low Bet Now
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