Ghana Premier League · ·Matchday 8

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions

Garuda Lions Prediction: Bibiani Gold Stars

2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.85.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Bibiani Gold Stars 70%
Draw 19%
Heart of Lions 11%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Bibiani Gold Stars wins
70%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
95%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
52%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
2 – 0
11% of simulated outcomes

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBibiani Gold StarsDrawHeart of Lions
Model70.2%18.9%10.9%
Market———
Final70.2%18.9%10.9%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Bibiani Gold Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.35 vs 0.85.

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions match preview

Bibiani Gold Stars are favored in their upcoming match against Heart of Lions, with a 70% probability of winning according to our model. The expected goals for Bibiani Gold Stars stand at 2.35, while Heart of Lions is projected to score 0.85. The most likely scoreline is 2-0, occurring with an 11% probability. Additionally, there is a 62% chance that the match will see over 2.5 goals, and a 52% likelihood that both teams will score.

In terms of recent form, Bibiani Gold Stars have recorded two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches, while Heart of Lions have managed two wins, a draw, and three losses. Historically, Bibiani Gold Stars have been dominant in their last six encounters against Heart of Lions, securing three wins and three draws, with Heart of Lions yet to achieve a victory.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Bibiani Gold S ↓ / Heart of Lions → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 1 9% 9% 2 11% 10% 3 9% 7% 4+ 9% 8%

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 95%
2+ goals 84%
3+ goals 62%
No goals 5%

Bibiani Gold Stars and Heart of Lions expected goals

Bibiani Gold Stars 2.35
Heart of Lions 0.85

Total expected goals: 3.20

Bibiani Gold Stars and Heart of Lions attack and defence ratings

Bibiani Gold Stars

Attack 1.22 +22%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Heart of Lions

Attack 1.06 +6%
Defence 1.39 +39%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Bibiani Gold Stars 70.2% 1.42 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Over 2.5 62.0% 1.61 — —
Both teams to score Yes 52.5% 1.91 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 89.1% 1.12 — —
Handicap -1 Bibiani Gold Stars win 48.1% 2.08 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Bibiani Gold Stars70.2%
Draw18.9%
Heart of Lions10.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.562.0%
Under 2.538.0%
Both teams to scoreYes52.5%
No47.5%
Double chance1X (home or draw)89.1%
12 (either side)81.1%
X2 (draw or away)29.8%
Handicap -1Bibiani Gold Stars win48.1%
Push (exactly one goal)22.1%
Loss29.8%
Correct score (top 3)2-011.3%
2-19.6%
1-18.9%

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions stats

Bibiani Gold Stars and Heart of Lions recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Bibiani Gold Stars and Heart of Lions season so far

league record

Bibiani Gold Stars record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Heart of Lions record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game on the road against 0.8 at home.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
  • They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions head-to-head

Last 6 meetings

3Bibiani Gold Stars wins 3Draws 0Heart of Lions wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-02-22Heart of LionsBibiani Gold StarsGhana Premier League1-2
2025-10-20Bibiani Gold StarsHeart of LionsGhana Premier League3-1
2025-04-01Bibiani Gold StarsHeart of LionsPremier League2-1
2024-09-29Heart of LionsBibiani Gold StarsPremier League0-0
2024-03-25Heart of LionsBibiani Gold StarsPremier League2-2
2023-10-23Bibiani Gold StarsHeart of LionsPremier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Bibiani Gold Stars vs Heart of Lions odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Bibiani Gold Stars Predicted score 2 – 0 Low Bet Now
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