Karela
vs
Port City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Karela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 16% model probability
Karela vs Port City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karela vs Port City
| Probability | Karela | Draw | Port City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 44.0% | 33.1% | 22.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 44.0% | 33.1% | 22.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Karela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.17 vs 0.77.
Karela vs Port City match preview
Karela faces Port City in the Ghana Premier League with a projected probability of winning at 44% for Karela, while Port City sits at 23%. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Karela, with an expected goals tally of 1.17 for Karela and 0.77 for Port City.
Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Karela recording a sequence of W-L-W-L-W-L, and Port City having a slightly more stable performance of L-W-L-W-W-D. The probability of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 31%, and there is a 38% chance that both teams will score in the match. The confidence grade for this analysis stands at C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karela and Port City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.94
Karela and Port City attack and defence ratings
Karela
Port City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 8 fixtures
Before and after this match
Karela vs Port City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 44.0% | 2.27 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 69.4% | 1.44 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 61.8% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 56.0% | 1.79 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 44.0% |
| Draw | 33.1% | |
| Port City | 22.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 30.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 69.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 38.2% |
| No | 61.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 56.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karela win | 19.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 56.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 15.7% |
| 1-0 | 15.6% | |
| 1-1 | 14.2% |
Karela vs Port City stats
Karela and Port City recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karela and Port City season so far
Karela record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Port City record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.