Medeama
vs
Aduana Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Medeama
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.71.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Medeama vs Aduana Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Medeama vs Aduana Stars
| Probability | Medeama | Draw | Aduana Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 62.2% | 24.6% | 13.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 62.2% | 24.6% | 13.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Medeama
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.79 vs 0.71.
Medeama vs Aduana Stars match preview
Medeama enters the match against Aduana Stars with a strong probability of winning at 62%, while Aduana Stars has a 13% chance of securing victory. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Medeama, with an expected goals metric showing Medeama at 1.79 and Aduana Stars at 0.71. Recent form indicates that Medeama has been performing well, with four wins in their last five matches, while Aduana Stars has experienced mixed results, winning three of their last five.
In their last ten encounters, Medeama and Aduana Stars have each claimed three victories, with four matches ending in draws, highlighting a competitive rivalry. The probabilities for over 2.5 goals stand at 46%, and both teams to score is at 43%, suggesting a potentially tight match with limited scoring opportunities.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Medeama and Aduana Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.50
Medeama and Aduana Stars attack and defence ratings
Medeama
Aduana Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Medeama vs Aduana Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 56.6% | 1.77 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% | 1.15 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 37.8% | 2.65 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 62.2% |
| Draw | 24.6% | |
| Aduana Stars | 13.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 43.4% |
| No | 56.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 86.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 37.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win | 37.0% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 13.7% |
| 2-0 | 13.2% | |
| 1-1 | 11.5% |
Medeama vs Aduana Stars stats
Medeama and Aduana Stars recent form
| Medeama |
LWWWWD |
| Aduana Stars |
WLWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Medeama and Aduana Stars season so far
Medeama record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.
Aduana Stars record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Medeama vs Aduana Stars head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Medeama | Aduana Stars | Ghana Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-11-08 | Aduana Stars | Medeama | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Medeama | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2024-10-28 | Aduana Stars | Medeama | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2024-03-21 | Medeama | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-09-24 | Aduana Stars | Medeama | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2023-03-12 | Aduana Stars | Medeama | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-10-30 | Medeama | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2022-05-02 | Aduana Stars | Medeama | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2021-12-26 | Medeama | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.