Aduana Stars
vs
Ashanti Gold
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aduana Stars
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold
| Probability | Aduana Stars | Draw | Ashanti Gold |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 30.5% | 19.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 30.5% | 19.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aduana Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.36 vs 0.75.
Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold match preview
Aduana Stars are set to face Ashanti Gold in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for October 18, 2026. According to our model, Aduana Stars have a 50% probability of winning, while a draw stands at 30% and Ashanti Gold at 19%. The expected goals for Aduana Stars is 1.36, compared to Ashanti Gold's 0.75. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0, with a 15% chance.
In terms of recent form, Aduana Stars have recorded a mixed performance with a record of L-W-W-W-L-D, while Ashanti Gold has shown slightly better consistency with W-L-W-L-W-D. The model suggests a 35% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% likelihood that both teams will score during the match.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aduana Stars and Ashanti Gold expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.11
Aduana Stars and Ashanti Gold attack and defence ratings
Aduana Stars
Ashanti Gold
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
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- Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles — match page
- Samartex v Medeama — match page
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats
- Swedru All Blacks vs Karela
- Basake Holy Stars v Bechem United — match page
- Port City vs Dreams
Before and after this match
Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aduana Stars | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 59.5% | 1.68 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aduana Stars | 50.1% |
| Draw | 30.5% | |
| Ashanti Gold | 19.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 35.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 64.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 40.5% |
| No | 59.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 80.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 69.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aduana Stars win | 24.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.2% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 15.2% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 13.3% |
Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold stats
Aduana Stars and Ashanti Gold recent form
| Aduana Stars |
LWWWLD |
| Ashanti Gold |
WLWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aduana Stars and Ashanti Gold season so far
Aduana Stars record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
Ashanti Gold record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.5 goals per match.
- They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-04-17 | Aduana Stars | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2021-12-15 | Ashanti Gold | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2021-07-05 | Aduana Stars | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-02-19 | Ashanti Gold | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 4-0 |
| 2020-03-08 | Aduana Stars | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2018-06-06 | Ashanti Gold | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2017-10-22 | Ashanti Gold | Aduana Stars | Premier League | 4-2 |
| 2017-02-12 | Aduana Stars | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2016-08-21 | Aduana Stars | Ashanti Gold | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.