Ashanti Gold
vs
Samartex
Garuda Lions Prediction: Ashanti Gold
1 – 0 Predicted score · 12% model probability
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ashanti Gold vs Samartex
| Probability | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Samartex |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 26.3% | 18.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.6% | 26.3% | 18.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ashanti Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.69 vs 0.88.
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex match preview
Ashanti Gold is set to face Samartex in the Ghana Premier League on October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 56% probability of an Ashanti Gold victory, while a draw stands at 26% and Samartex at 18%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ashanti Gold, with a 12% chance. The expected goals for Ashanti Gold is 1.69, compared to 0.88 for Samartex.
In terms of recent form, Ashanti Gold has recorded a mixed set of results with one win, one draw, and two losses in their last five matches. Conversely, Samartex has shown stronger form, with three wins and two draws in their last five outings, though they did suffer one defeat. The probabilities suggest a competitive match, with a 47% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 49% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Ashanti Gold and Samartex expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.57
Ashanti Gold and Samartex attack and defence ratings
Ashanti Gold
Samartex
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Medeama v Heart of Lions — match page
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
Before and after this match
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 55.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Samartex | 18.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex stats
Ashanti Gold and Samartex recent form
| Ashanti Gold |
LWLWD |
| Samartex |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.