Ghana Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Ashanti Gold
vs
Samartex
1 – 0 Full time
Ashanti Gold
56%
Draw
26%
Samartex
18%
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Ashanti Gold vs Samartex
| Probability | Ashanti Gold | Draw | Samartex |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 55.6% | 26.2% | 18.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 55.6% | 26.2% | 18.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Ashanti Gold
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.70 vs 0.88.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
74%
3+ goals
47%
No goals
9%
Ashanti Gold and Samartex expected goals
Ashanti Gold
1.70
Samartex
0.88
Total expected goals: 2.57
Ashanti Gold and Samartex attack and defence ratings
Ashanti Gold
Attack
1.29 +29%
Defence
1.23 +23%
Samartex
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
0.95 -5%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex: result vs prediction
Ashanti Gold 1 – 0 Samartex
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Swedru All Blacks v Asante Kotoko — match page
- Bechem United vs Vision
- Berekum Chelsea v Debibi United — match page
- Hearts of Oak vs Port City — team news & stats
- Karela vs Dreams
- Medeama v Heart of Lions — match page
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
Before and after this match
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 55.6% | 1.80 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 51.2% | 1.95 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 44.4% | 2.25 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Ashanti Gold | 55.6% |
| Draw | 26.2% | |
| Samartex | 18.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 47.5% |
| Under 2.5 | 52.5% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 48.8% |
| No | 51.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 81.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.8% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 44.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Ashanti Gold win | 31.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 44.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.8% | |
| 2-0 | 11.0% |
Ashanti Gold vs Samartex stats
Ashanti Gold and Samartex recent form
| Ashanti Gold |
LWLWD |
| Samartex |
WDDWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 5 completed matches.
Ashanti Gold and Samartex going into this match
Ashanti Gold record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Samartex record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.