Garuda Lions
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Ghana Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko

1 – 0 Full time

31′R. Boadu
40′J. Amoah
47′O. AgyemangI. Adam
47′R. BoaduS. Kwadwo
56′W. Danquah
75′F. CharweteyV. Baah
77′E. SanjaA. Abu
77′E. GbettaW. Fuseini
81′M. SalisE. Essoun
90′L. H. Adabo
90′E. W. Darkwah
90′M. Hamzata

Swedru Stadium, Agona Swedru

Swedru All Blacks 46%
Draw 30%
Asante Kotoko 24%

Confidence: Low  ·  blended with market odds

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySwedru All BlacksDrawAsante Kotoko
Model63.7%24.6%11.6%
Market40.4%31.5%28.1%
Final46.3%29.8%24.0%
Edge+5.8%-1.7%-4.1%

Confidence: Low · Edge = Final minus Market

Why Swedru All Blacks

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 0.62.
  • The market prices Swedru All Blacks below our published probability: +5.8 percentage points of edge.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Swedru All Bla ↓ / Asante Kotoko → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 10% 1 15% 11% 2 14% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 90%
2+ goals 69%
3+ goals 42%
No goals 10%

Swedru All Blacks and Asante Kotoko expected goals

Swedru All Blacks 1.75
Asante Kotoko 0.62

Total expected goals: 2.36

Swedru All Blacks and Asante Kotoko attack and defence ratings

Swedru All Blacks

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Asante Kotoko

Attack 0.97 -3%
Defence 1.24 +24%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko: result vs prediction

Swedru All Blacks 1 – 0 Asante Kotoko

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Swedru All Blacks 46.3% 2.16 +5.8% —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 57.9% 1.73 — —
Both teams to score No 61.0% 1.64 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.0% 1.32 — —
Handicap -1 Swedru All Blacks win 37.7% 2.65 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Swedru All Blacks46.3%
Draw29.8%
Asante Kotoko24.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.542.1%
Under 2.557.9%
Both teams to scoreYes39.0%
No61.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.0%
12 (either side)70.2%
X2 (draw or away)53.7%
Handicap -1Swedru All Blacks win37.7%
Push (exactly one goal)26.0%
Loss36.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-015.4%
2-014.4%
1-111.1%

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko stats

Swedru All Blacks and Asante Kotoko recent form

newest first
Swedru All Blacks LDDWLW
Asante Kotoko WLDWDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Swedru All Blacks and Asante Kotoko going into this match

league record before kick-off

Swedru All Blacks record

  • They have won 1 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.

Asante Kotoko record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

2Swedru All Blacks wins 0Draws 0Asante Kotoko wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Asante KotokoSwedru All BlacksGhana Premier League1-2
2026-01-04Swedru All BlacksAsante KotokoGhana Premier League2-1

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Swedru All Blacks vs Asante Kotoko odds

Odds comparison

latest snapshot per book

Median de-vigged market: home 40.4%, draw 31.5%, away 28.1%.

Bookmaker1X2
1xBet 2.22 2.90 3.19
Bet365 2.25 2.75 3.30
Betano 2.30 2.72 3.25
Betfair 2.20 2.90 3.10
Dafabet 2.32 2.90 3.30
Marathonbet 2.22 2.84 3.12

Odds movement

Only one odds snapshot recorded so far — movement needs at least two.