Swedru All Blacks
vs
Karela
Garuda Lions Prediction: Swedru All Blacks
1 – 0 Predicted score · 19% model probability
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swedru All Blacks vs Karela
| Probability | Swedru All Blacks | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 59.2% | 28.6% | 12.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 59.2% | 28.6% | 12.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Swedru All Blacks
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.53.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela match preview
Swedru All Blacks are set to face Karela in the Ghana Premier League, with a 59% probability of winning according to our model. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with an expected goals tally of 1.46 for Swedru All Blacks compared to Karela's 0.53. Recent form shows Swedru All Blacks with two wins, two draws, and one loss in their last five matches, while Karela has won two and lost three.
In terms of head-to-head encounters, Swedru All Blacks have not secured a win against Karela in their last two meetings, with one draw and one loss. The probability of a draw stands at 29%, while Karela has a 12% chance of winning. Both teams to score is estimated at 33%, and the likelihood of over 2.5 goals is 32%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Swedru All Blacks and Karela expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.99
Swedru All Blacks and Karela attack and defence ratings
Swedru All Blacks
Karela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swedru All Blacks | 59.2% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 67.5% | 1.48 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 40.8% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swedru All Blacks | 59.2% |
| Draw | 28.6% | |
| Karela | 12.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 32.0% |
| Under 2.5 | 68.0% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 32.5% |
| No | 67.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 40.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | Swedru All Blacks win | 31.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.7% | |
| Loss | 40.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.0% |
| 0-0 | 14.8% | |
| 2-0 | 14.6% |
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela stats
Swedru All Blacks and Karela recent form
| Swedru All Blacks |
WLDDWL |
| Karela |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swedru All Blacks and Karela season so far
Swedru All Blacks record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 6 matches.
Karela record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Swedru All Blacks vs Karela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Karela | Swedru All Blacks | Ghana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Swedru All Blacks | Karela | Ghana Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.