Samartex
vs
Medeama
Garuda Lions Prediction: Samartex
1 – 0 Predicted score · 10% model probability
Samartex vs Medeama overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samartex vs Medeama
| Probability | Samartex | Draw | Medeama |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.5% | 28.5% | 26.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.5% | 28.5% | 26.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Samartex
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.48 vs 1.07.
Samartex vs Medeama match preview
Samartex faces Medeama in the Ghana Premier League on October 18, 2026. According to our model, Samartex has a 45% probability of winning, while a draw is at 28% and Medeama at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Samartex, with an expected goals tally of 1.48 for Samartex and 1.07 for Medeama. Recent form shows Samartex with two wins, two draws, and one loss, while Medeama has an impressive run of four wins, one draw, and one loss.
In their last two encounters, Samartex has not secured a win against Medeama, with both matches ending in draws. The probability of over 2.5 goals is 47%, and there is a 52% chance that both teams will score in this fixture. The confidence grade for this matchup is C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samartex and Medeama expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.55
Samartex and Medeama attack and defence ratings
Samartex
Medeama
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Samartex vs Medeama markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samartex | 45.5% | 2.20 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% | 1.35 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.5% | 1.83 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samartex | 45.5% |
| Draw | 28.5% | |
| Medeama | 26.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.0% |
| No | 48.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samartex win | 23.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.3% | |
| Loss | 54.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.6% |
| 1-0 | 10.3% | |
| 2-1 | 9.2% |
Samartex vs Medeama stats
Samartex and Medeama recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samartex and Medeama season so far
Samartex record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Medeama record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
Samartex vs Medeama head-to-head
Last 9 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-22 | Samartex | Medeama | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2026-02-07 | Medeama | Samartex | Cup | 0-0 |
| 2025-10-18 | Medeama | Samartex | Ghana Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-19 | Samartex | Medeama | Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2024-10-09 | Medeama | Samartex | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-04-07 | Samartex | Medeama | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-10-29 | Medeama | Samartex | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-06-04 | Samartex | Medeama | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-02-05 | Medeama | Samartex | Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.