Berekum Chelsea
vs
Samartex
Garuda Lions Prediction: Berekum Chelsea
1 – 0 Predicted score · 14% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.66.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex
| Probability | Berekum Chelsea | Draw | Samartex |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.5% | 23.8% | 11.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.5% | 23.8% | 11.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Berekum Chelsea
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.83 vs 0.66.
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex match preview
Berekum Chelsea hosts Samartex in a Ghana Premier League matchup with a strong probability of a home victory at 64%. The expected goals indicate a dominant performance from Berekum Chelsea, projected at 1.83 compared to Samartex's 0.66. Recent form shows Berekum Chelsea with two wins in their last three matches, while Samartex has also been solid, winning three of their last five.
Historically, the head-to-head record is closely contested, with Berekum Chelsea securing 2 wins, Samartex 3 wins, and 3 matches ending in a draw over the last 8 encounters. The most likely scoreline predicted by our model is 1-0, with a 14% probability. Additionally, there is a 45% chance of over 2.5 goals and a 41% chance for both teams to score.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Berekum Chelsea and Samartex expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Berekum Chelsea and Samartex attack and defence ratings
Berekum Chelsea
Samartex
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Berekum Chelsea | 64.5% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Berekum Chelsea win | 39.1% | 2.56 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Berekum Chelsea | 64.5% |
| Draw | 23.8% | |
| Samartex | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Berekum Chelsea win | 39.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 35.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.2% |
| 2-0 | 13.9% | |
| 1-1 | 11.0% |
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex stats
Berekum Chelsea and Samartex recent form
| Berekum Chelsea |
WWLDLW |
| Samartex |
WLWDDW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Berekum Chelsea and Samartex season so far
Berekum Chelsea record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Samartex record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Berekum Chelsea vs Samartex head-to-head
Last 8 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | Samartex | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-30 | Berekum Chelsea | Samartex | Ghana Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2025-03-23 | Berekum Chelsea | Samartex | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-10-27 | Samartex | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-04-14 | Samartex | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 3-2 |
| 2023-11-05 | Berekum Chelsea | Samartex | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2023-03-01 | Berekum Chelsea | Samartex | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2022-09-19 | Samartex | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.