Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars

Garuda Lions Prediction: Samartex

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Samartex Park, Tarkwa

Samartex 57%
Draw 27%
Bibiani Gold Stars 16%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Samartex wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
89%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySamartexDrawBibiani Gold Stars
Model56.7%27.4%15.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final56.7%27.4%15.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Samartex

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars match preview

Samartex enters the match against Bibiani Gold Stars with a probability of 60% to win, reflecting a solid recent form of W-L-W-D-D-W. The expected goals for Samartex stand at 1.77, while Bibiani Gold Stars is projected to score 0.77. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Samartex, with a 13% chance of occurring.

In contrast, Bibiani Gold Stars has had a mixed recent performance, with a record of L-W-D-L-W-L. Their probability of winning is only 15%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 46%. The head-to-head results show an even split in the last two encounters, with each team winning once.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Samartex ↓ / Bibiani Gold S β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 11% 1 15% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 89%
2+ goals 68%
3+ goals 41%
No goals 11%

Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars expected goals

Samartex 1.58
Bibiani Gold Stars 0.73

Total expected goals: 2.31

Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars attack and defence ratings

Samartex

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.85 -15%

Bibiani Gold Stars

Attack 1.28 +28%
Defence 1.20 +20%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Samartex 56.7% 1.76 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 59.3% 1.69 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 57.7% 1.73 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 84.1% 1.19 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 43.3% 2.31 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Samartex56.7%
Draw27.4%
Bibiani Gold Stars15.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.540.7%
Under 2.559.3%
Both teams to scoreYes42.3%
No57.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)84.1%
12 (either side)72.6%
X2 (draw or away)43.3%
Handicap -1Samartex win31.2%
Push (exactly one goal)25.5%
Loss43.3%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.5%
1-112.6%
2-012.4%

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars stats

Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars season so far

league record

Samartex record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.

Bibiani Gold Stars record

  • They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Samartex wins 0Draws 1Bibiani Gold Stars wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-06Bibiani Gold StarsSamartexGhana Premier League2-0
2025-12-07SamartexBibiani Gold StarsGhana Premier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Samartex Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
v Bet Now