Samartex
vs
Bibiani Gold Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Samartex
1 β 0 Predicted score Β· 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars
| Probability | Samartex | Draw | Bibiani Gold Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 56.7% | 27.4% | 15.9% |
| Market | β | β | β |
| Final | 56.7% | 27.4% | 15.9% |
| Edge | β | β | β |
Why Samartex
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 0.73.
Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars match preview
Samartex enters the match against Bibiani Gold Stars with a probability of 60% to win, reflecting a solid recent form of W-L-W-D-D-W. The expected goals for Samartex stand at 1.77, while Bibiani Gold Stars is projected to score 0.77. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Samartex, with a 13% chance of occurring.
In contrast, Bibiani Gold Stars has had a mixed recent performance, with a record of L-W-D-L-W-L. Their probability of winning is only 15%, and the likelihood of both teams scoring is estimated at 46%. The head-to-head results show an even split in the last two encounters, with each team winning once.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.31
Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars attack and defence ratings
Samartex
Bibiani Gold Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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Before and after this match
Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samartex | 56.7% | 1.76 | β | β |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 59.3% | 1.69 | β | β |
| Both teams to score | No | 57.7% | 1.73 | β | β |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% | 1.19 | β | β |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 43.3% | 2.31 | β | β |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Samartex | 56.7% |
| Draw | 27.4% | |
| Bibiani Gold Stars | 15.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 40.7% |
| Under 2.5 | 59.3% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 42.3% |
| No | 57.7% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 84.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Samartex win | 31.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.5% | |
| Loss | 43.3% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.5% |
| 1-1 | 12.6% | |
| 2-0 | 12.4% |
Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars stats
Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars recent form
| DWLWDD | |
| WLWDLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Samartex and Bibiani Gold Stars season so far
Samartex record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
Bibiani Gold Stars record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 7 matches.
Samartex vs Bibiani Gold Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-06 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Samartex | Ghana Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | Samartex | Bibiani Gold Stars | Ghana Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.