Aduana Stars
vs
Berekum Chelsea
Garuda Lions Prediction: Aduana Stars
1 – 0 Predicted score · 17% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.69.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea
| Probability | Aduana Stars | Draw | Berekum Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 41.1% | 35.8% | 23.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 41.1% | 35.8% | 23.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Aduana Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.02 vs 0.69.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea match preview
Aduana Stars are set to face Berekum Chelsea in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Aduana Stars have a 46% probability of winning, while Berekum Chelsea stands at 22%, and a draw is predicted at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Aduana Stars, which has a 16% likelihood. Expected goals for Aduana Stars are 1.19, compared to Berekum Chelsea's 0.74.
In terms of recent form, Aduana Stars have recorded a mixed performance with three wins and two losses in their last five matches. Berekum Chelsea, on the other hand, has two wins, one draw, and two losses in the same period. The head-to-head record in their last two encounters shows one win for each team. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Aduana Stars and Berekum Chelsea expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.71
Aduana Stars and Berekum Chelsea attack and defence ratings
Aduana Stars
Berekum Chelsea
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Basake Holy Stars v Dreams — match page
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Before and after this match
Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aduana Stars | 41.1% | 2.43 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 75.4% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 66.8% | 1.50 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Aduana Stars | 41.1% |
| Draw | 35.8% | |
| Berekum Chelsea | 23.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 24.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 75.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 33.2% |
| No | 66.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 64.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 58.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Aduana Stars win | 16.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.4% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-0 | 19.4% |
| 1-0 | 17.1% | |
| 1-1 | 14.0% |
Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea stats
Aduana Stars and Berekum Chelsea recent form
| Aduana Stars |
LWLWWW |
| Berekum Chelsea |
DWWLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Aduana Stars and Berekum Chelsea season so far
Aduana Stars record
- They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 7 matches.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
- 33% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Berekum Chelsea record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.4 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.
Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-05 | Berekum Chelsea | Aduana Stars | Ghana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-11-23 | Aduana Stars | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.