Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams

Garuda Lions Prediction: Basake Holy Stars

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 14% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.87.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Crosby Awuah Memorial Stadium, Nzema Anyinase

Basake Holy Stars 45%
Draw 31%
Dreams 24%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Basake Holy Stars wins
45%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
87%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
14% of simulated outcomes

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBasake Holy StarsDrawDreams
Model45.1%31.1%23.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final45.1%31.1%23.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Basake Holy Stars

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.30 vs 0.87.
  • Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 0 for the opposition.

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams match preview

Basake Holy Stars will face Dreams in the Ghana Premier League, with kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Basake Holy Stars has a 39% chance of winning, while Dreams has a 28% probability of victory, and a draw stands at 33%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Basake Holy Stars, with an expected goals tally of 1.12 for them and 0.91 for Dreams.

In terms of recent form, Basake Holy Stars has recorded a mixed performance with two wins and three losses in their last five matches, while Dreams has struggled, drawing once and losing four times. Historically, in their last two encounters, Dreams has won both matches against Basake Holy Stars. The confidence grade for this matchup is rated C, indicating moderate uncertainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Basake Holy St ↓ / Dreams β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 13% 9% 1 14% 14% 2 10% 8% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 87%
2+ goals 65%
3+ goals 37%
No goals 13%

Basake Holy Stars and Dreams expected goals

Basake Holy Stars 1.30
Dreams 0.87

Total expected goals: 2.17

Basake Holy Stars and Dreams attack and defence ratings

Basake Holy Stars

Attack 0.71 -29%
Defence 1.11 +11%

Dreams

Attack 1.17 +17%
Defence 1.31 +31%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Basake Holy Stars 45.1% 2.22 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 63.1% 1.58 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 56.4% 1.77 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 76.2% 1.31 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 54.9% 1.82 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Basake Holy Stars45.1%
Draw31.1%
Dreams23.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.536.9%
Under 2.563.1%
Both teams to scoreYes43.6%
No56.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)76.2%
12 (either side)68.9%
X2 (draw or away)54.9%
Handicap -1Basake Holy Stars win21.4%
Push (exactly one goal)23.6%
Loss54.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-114.2%
1-013.5%
0-012.7%

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams stats

Basake Holy Stars and Dreams recent form

newest first
Basake Holy Stars LWLWLW
Dreams LDLDLD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Basake Holy Stars and Dreams season so far

league record

Basake Holy Stars record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.7 goals per match.
  • They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 7 matches.

Dreams record

  • They have won 0 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Basake Holy Stars wins 0Draws 2Dreams wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-24Basake Holy StarsDreamsGhana Premier League1-4
2026-01-04DreamsBasake Holy StarsGhana Premier League2-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Basake Holy Stars vs Dreams odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Basake Holy Stars Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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