Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 9

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama

Garuda Lions Prediction: Asante Kotoko

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 9% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Baba Yara Stadium, Kumasi

Asante Kotoko 42%
Draw 28%
Medeama 30%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Asante Kotoko wins
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
92%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
55%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
9% of simulated outcomes

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Asante Kotoko vs Medeama

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAsante KotokoDrawMedeama
Model41.8%28.3%29.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final41.8%28.3%29.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama match preview

Asante Kotoko faces Medeama in the Ghana Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for November 1, 2026. According to our model, Asante Kotoko has a 42% chance of winning, while Medeama stands at 30%, and a draw is estimated at 28%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Asante Kotoko, with a probability of 9%. The expected goals for Asante Kotoko is 1.45, compared to Medeama's 1.19.

Recent form shows Asante Kotoko with mixed results, recording two draws, one win, and two losses in their last six matches. In contrast, Medeama is on a strong run, having won five of their last six games. The head-to-head record indicates that Asante Kotoko has not secured a win against Medeama in their last two encounters, with one draw and one win for Medeama.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Asante Kotoko ↓ / Medeama β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 8% 7% 1 9% 14% 7% 2 7% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 92%
2+ goals 75%
3+ goals 49%
No goals 8%

Asante Kotoko and Medeama expected goals

Asante Kotoko 1.45
Medeama 1.19

Total expected goals: 2.64

Asante Kotoko and Medeama attack and defence ratings

Asante Kotoko

Attack 0.98 -2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Medeama

Attack 1.47 +47%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 9 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Asante Kotoko 41.8% 2.39 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 50.8% 1.97 β€” β€”
Both teams to score Yes 54.6% 1.83 β€” β€”
Double chance 12 (either side) 71.7% 1.40 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 58.2% 1.72 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Asante Kotoko41.8%
Draw28.3%
Medeama29.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.549.2%
Under 2.550.8%
Both teams to scoreYes54.6%
No45.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)70.2%
12 (either side)71.7%
X2 (draw or away)58.2%
Handicap -1Asante Kotoko win20.8%
Push (exactly one goal)21.0%
Loss58.2%
Correct score (top 3)1-113.5%
1-09.1%
2-18.9%

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama stats

Asante Kotoko and Medeama recent form

newest first
Asante Kotoko DWLWLD
Medeama WLWWWW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Asante Kotoko and Medeama season so far

league record

Asante Kotoko record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Medeama record

  • They have won 4 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.9 goals per match.
  • They average 2.7 goals per game at home against 1.2 on the road.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 4 matches.

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

0Asante Kotoko wins 1Draws 1Medeama wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-04-12MedeamaAsante KotokoGhana Premier League4-0
2025-11-30Asante KotokoMedeamaGhana Premier League2-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Asante Kotoko vs Medeama odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Asante Kotoko Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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