Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 8

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ashanti Gold

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 13% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.72.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Len Clay Stadium, Obuasi

Ashanti Gold 63%
Draw 24%
Asante Kotoko 13%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Ashanti Gold wins
63%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
44%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
13% of simulated outcomes

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityAshanti GoldDrawAsante Kotoko
Model63.4%23.8%12.8%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final63.4%23.8%12.8%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Ashanti Gold

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.85 vs 0.72.

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko match preview

Ashanti Gold hosts Asante Kotoko in a Ghana Premier League clash on October 25, 2026. According to our model, Ashanti Gold has a 63% probability of winning, while Asante Kotoko stands at 13%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Ashanti Gold, with an expected goals tally of 1.85 compared to Asante Kotoko's 0.72.

In terms of recent form, Ashanti Gold has recorded two wins and three losses in their last six matches, while Asante Kotoko has three wins, two losses, and one draw in the same period. The head-to-head record over the last nine encounters shows Ashanti Gold with two wins, Asante Kotoko with three wins, and four matches ending in draws. The confidence grade for this matchup is C.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Ashanti Gold ↓ / Asante Kotoko β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 13% 11% 2 13% 9% 3 8% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 74%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko expected goals

Ashanti Gold 1.85
Asante Kotoko 0.72

Total expected goals: 2.57

Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko attack and defence ratings

Ashanti Gold

Attack 1.10 +10%
Defence 1.07 +7%

Asante Kotoko

Attack 1.02 +2%
Defence 1.21 +21%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 8 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ashanti Gold 63.4% 1.58 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 52.5% 1.90 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 55.7% 1.79 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 87.2% 1.15 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Ashanti Gold win 38.5% 2.60 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Ashanti Gold63.4%
Draw23.8%
Asante Kotoko12.8%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.547.5%
Under 2.552.5%
Both teams to scoreYes44.3%
No55.7%
Double chance1X (home or draw)87.2%
12 (either side)76.2%
X2 (draw or away)36.6%
Handicap -1Ashanti Gold win38.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.9%
Loss36.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-013.1%
2-013.1%
1-111.2%

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko stats

Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko recent form

newest first
Ashanti Gold LWLWLW
Asante Kotoko WLWLDW

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Ashanti Gold and Asante Kotoko season so far

league record

Ashanti Gold record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
  • They average 2.0 goals per game at home against 0.8 on the road.

Asante Kotoko record

  • They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko head-to-head

Last 9 meetings

2Ashanti Gold wins 4Draws 3Asante Kotoko wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2022-06-02Ashanti GoldAsante KotokoPremier League1-1
2022-01-09Asante KotokoAshanti GoldPremier League3-1
2021-06-06Asante KotokoAshanti GoldPremier League1-0
2021-01-31Ashanti GoldAsante KotokoPremier League0-0
2020-02-16Asante KotokoAshanti GoldPremier League0-0
2018-04-08Ashanti GoldAsante KotokoPremier League2-0
2017-10-05Asante KotokoAshanti GoldPremier League1-1
2017-02-27Ashanti GoldAsante KotokoPremier League0-1
2016-09-14Ashanti GoldAsante KotokoPremier League5-3

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Ashanti Gold vs Asante Kotoko odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Ashanti Gold Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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