Young Apostles
vs
Karela
Garuda Lions Prediction: Young Apostles
1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability
- WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.74.
- RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Young Apostles vs Karela overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Young Apostles vs Karela
| Probability | Young Apostles | Draw | Karela |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.1% | 29.1% | 17.8% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.1% | 29.1% | 17.8% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Young Apostles
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.46 vs 0.74.
Young Apostles vs Karela match preview
Young Apostles are set to face Karela in the Ghana Premier League, with a probability of 53% for a home win according to our model. The most likely scoreline is projected to be 1-0, occurring at a rate of 16%. Young Apostles have shown mixed form recently, with their last five matches resulting in two wins and three losses. In contrast, Karela's recent performances include three wins and three losses in their last six games.
In terms of expected goals, Young Apostles are forecasted to score 1.40, while Karela is expected to manage only 0.69. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals stands at 35%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 39%. Historically, in their last two encounters, both teams have each secured one win, indicating a competitive matchup ahead.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Young Apostles and Karela expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.20
Young Apostles and Karela attack and defence ratings
Young Apostles
Karela
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Aduana Stars vs Berekum Chelsea — team news & stats
- Heart of Lions vs Bechem United
- Samartex v Bibiani Gold Stars — match page
- Debibi United vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats
- Basake Holy Stars v Dreams — match page
Before and after this match
Young Apostles vs Karela markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Apostles | 53.1% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 62.2% | 1.61 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 58.6% | 1.71 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.9% | 2.13 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Young Apostles | 53.1% |
| Draw | 29.1% | |
| Karela | 17.8% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 37.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 62.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 41.4% |
| No | 58.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.2% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Young Apostles win | 27.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 25.4% | |
| Loss | 46.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 14.9% |
| 1-1 | 13.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.2% |
Young Apostles vs Karela stats
Young Apostles and Karela recent form
| Young Apostles |
LLWLLL |
| Karela |
LLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Young Apostles and Karela season so far
Young Apostles record
- They have won 2 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 0.6 goals per match.
- They average 1.0 goals per game at home against 0.2 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 7 matches.
Karela record
- They have won 3 of their 7 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.7 goals per game at home against 0.5 on the road.
Young Apostles vs Karela head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-03 | Karela | Young Apostles | Ghana Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-12-14 | Young Apostles | Karela | Ghana Premier League | 2-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.