Ghana Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 7
Heart of Lions
vs
Berekum Chelsea
0 – 2 Full time
Heart of Lions
50%
Draw
26%
Berekum Chelsea
24%
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea
| Probability | Heart of Lions | Draw | Berekum Chelsea |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.5% | 25.8% | 23.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.5% | 25.8% | 23.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Heart of Lions
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.75 vs 1.14.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
93%
2+ goals
80%
3+ goals
55%
No goals
7%
Heart of Lions and Berekum Chelsea expected goals
Heart of Lions
1.75
Berekum Chelsea
1.14
Total expected goals: 2.89
Heart of Lions and Berekum Chelsea attack and defence ratings
Heart of Lions
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.31 +31%
Berekum Chelsea
Attack
1.32 +32%
Defence
1.07 +7%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea: result vs prediction
Heart of Lions 0 – 2 Berekum Chelsea
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 7 fixtures
- Vision vs Hearts of Oak — team news & stats
- Asante Kotoko v Young Apostles — match page
- Aduana Stars vs Ashanti Gold — team news & stats
- Samartex v Medeama — match page
- Debibi United vs Bibiani Gold Stars — team news & stats
- Swedru All Blacks vs Karela
- Basake Holy Stars v Bechem United — match page
- Port City vs Dreams
Before and after this match
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart of Lions | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% | 1.81 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% | 1.31 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.5% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Heart of Lions | 50.5% |
| Draw | 25.8% | |
| Berekum Chelsea | 23.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 55.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 44.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 57.4% |
| No | 42.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 76.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 74.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Heart of Lions win | 28.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.1% | |
| Loss | 49.5% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.2% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 1-0 | 8.6% |
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea stats
Heart of Lions and Berekum Chelsea recent form
| Heart of Lions |
LWWDLD |
| Berekum Chelsea |
WLDLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Heart of Lions and Berekum Chelsea going into this match
Heart of Lions record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
- 30% of their yellow cards have come after the 75th minute.
Berekum Chelsea record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.3 goals per match.
- They average 2.3 goals per game at home against 0.3 on the road.
Heart of Lions vs Berekum Chelsea head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
4Heart of Lions wins
2Draws
4Berekum Chelsea wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Berekum Chelsea | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League | 2-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Heart of Lions | Berekum Chelsea | Ghana Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2025-04-13 | Berekum Chelsea | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-11-10 | Heart of Lions | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-06-16 | Berekum Chelsea | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2023-12-31 | Heart of Lions | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2015-06-28 | Heart of Lions | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2015-03-22 | Berekum Chelsea | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2014-02-26 | Berekum Chelsea | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2013-12-01 | Heart of Lions | Berekum Chelsea | Premier League | 3-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.