Medeama
vs
Heart of Lions
Garuda Lions Prediction: Medeama
2 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Medeama vs Heart of Lions overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Medeama vs Heart of Lions
| Probability | Medeama | Draw | Heart of Lions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.0% | 17.9% | 10.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 72.0% | 17.9% | 10.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Medeama
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Medeama vs Heart of Lions match preview
Medeama enters the match against Heart of Lions with a strong probability of winning at 72%, bolstered by their recent form of three wins, two draws, and a loss. Their expected goals stand at 2.46, indicating a solid attacking performance, while Heart of Lions has an expected goals figure of 0.85, reflecting their struggles in front of goal. The most likely scoreline predicted is 2-0 in favor of Medeama, with a 64% chance of over 2.5 goals being scored in the match.
Historically, Medeama has dominated their recent encounters with Heart of Lions, winning both of their last two meetings without conceding. Heart of Lions, on the other hand, has recorded two wins, a draw, and three losses in their last six matches. The model suggests a draw has an 18% probability, while Heart of Lions has a mere 10% chance of securing a victory.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Medeama and Heart of Lions expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.30
Medeama and Heart of Lions attack and defence ratings
Medeama
Heart of Lions
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
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- Ashanti Gold vs Samartex — team news & stats
- Bechem United vs Vision
- Berekum Chelsea v Debibi United — match page
- Hearts of Oak vs Port City — team news & stats
- Karela vs Dreams
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
Before and after this match
Medeama vs Heart of Lions markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 72.0% | 1.39 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% | 1.11 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win | 50.4% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 72.0% |
| Draw | 17.9% | |
| Heart of Lions | 10.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 89.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 82.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 28.0% | |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win | 50.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 28.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 9.1% |
Medeama vs Heart of Lions stats
Medeama and Heart of Lions recent form
| Medeama |
WWWDDL |
| Heart of Lions |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Medeama vs Heart of Lions head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League | 5-2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Ghana Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.