Ghana Premier League
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Medeama
vs
Heart of Lions
3 – 1 Full time
| 26′ | E. Annor | ||
| 52′ | M. Yakubu | ||
| 60′ | D. AmponsahD. Baffoe | ||
| 60′ | H. FuseiniW. Oduro | ||
| 60′ | M. YakubuK. Agbadji | ||
| 61′ | Medeama | ||
| 64′ | P. Amartey | ||
| 64′ | K. Braye | ||
| 66′ | Medeama | ||
| 71′ | S. AfoakwaA. Owusu | ||
| 85′ | I. AddoK. Asenso | ||
| 85′ | P. AmarteyF. Ali | ||
| 90′ | Medeama | ||
| 90′ | K. Agbadji |
Medeama
67%
Draw
22%
Heart of Lions
12%
Medeama vs Heart of Lions overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Medeama vs Heart of Lions
| Probability | Medeama | Draw | Heart of Lions |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 72.0% | 17.8% | 10.1% |
| Market | 65.0% | 22.8% | 12.2% |
| Final | 66.7% | 21.6% | 11.7% |
| Edge | +1.8% | -1.2% | -0.5% |
Why Medeama
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.46 vs 0.85.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
85%
3+ goals
64%
No goals
4%
Medeama and Heart of Lions expected goals
Medeama
2.46
Heart of Lions
0.85
Total expected goals: 3.31
Medeama and Heart of Lions attack and defence ratings
Medeama
Attack
1.56 +56%
Defence
1.08 +8%
Heart of Lions
Attack
1.17 +17%
Defence
1.15 +15%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Medeama vs Heart of Lions: result vs prediction
Medeama 3 – 1 Heart of Lions
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Swedru All Blacks v Asante Kotoko — match page
- Ashanti Gold vs Samartex — team news & stats
- Bechem United vs Vision
- Berekum Chelsea v Debibi United — match page
- Hearts of Oak vs Port City — team news & stats
- Karela vs Dreams
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
Before and after this match
Medeama vs Heart of Lions markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 66.7% | 1.50 | +1.8% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% | 1.56 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% | 1.89 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% | 1.13 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Medeama | 66.7% |
| Draw | 21.6% | |
| Heart of Lions | 11.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 64.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 35.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.0% |
| No | 47.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 88.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 33.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | Medeama win | 50.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.5% | |
| Loss | 28.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 11.1% |
| 2-1 | 9.4% | |
| 3-0 | 9.1% |
Medeama vs Heart of Lions stats
Medeama and Heart of Lions recent form
| Medeama |
WWWDDL |
| Heart of Lions |
WWDLDL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Medeama and Heart of Lions going into this match
Medeama record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.8 goals per match.
Heart of Lions record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
- They have converted 3 of 3 penalties (100%).
Medeama vs Heart of Lions head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
3Medeama wins
2Draws
5Heart of Lions wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Ghana Premier League | 5-2 |
| 2025-12-27 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Ghana Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-04-16 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-10-05 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2024-06-02 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-01-17 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Premier League | 2-2 |
| 2015-06-21 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 4-1 |
| 2015-03-29 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2014-05-18 | Heart of Lions | Medeama | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2013-10-02 | Medeama | Heart of Lions | Premier League | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Medeama vs Heart of Lions odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 65.0%, draw 22.8%, away 12.2%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.38 | 3.95 | 7.60 |
| Bet365 | 1.44 | 4.00 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.42 | 3.85 | 6.80 |
| Betfair | 1.36 | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.41 | 4.20 | 7.60 |
| Marathonbet | 1.37 | 3.95 | 7.20 |