Karela
vs
Dreams
Garuda Lions Prediction: Karela
1 – 0 Predicted score · 11% model probability
Karela vs Dreams overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karela vs Dreams
| Probability | Karela | Draw | Dreams |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 45.6% | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Karela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Karela vs Dreams match preview
Karela faces Dreams in the Ghana Premier League with a kickoff scheduled for October 11, 2026. The model indicates a 46% probability of a Karela victory, while a draw stands at 29% and Dreams at 26%. The most likely scoreline is 1-0 in favor of Karela, with an 11% chance of occurring. Both teams have shown mixed recent form, with Karela recording two wins and four losses in their last six matches, while Dreams have three draws and two losses, followed by a win.
In terms of expected goals, Karela is projected to score 1.45 while Dreams is at 1.03, suggesting a slight advantage for Karela offensively. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 45%, and both teams scoring is estimated at 51%. In their last two encounters, Karela has secured one win and one draw against Dreams, who have yet to claim victory in this matchup.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karela and Dreams expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.48
Karela and Dreams attack and defence ratings
Karela
Dreams
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Swedru All Blacks v Asante Kotoko — match page
- Ashanti Gold vs Samartex — team news & stats
- Bechem United vs Vision
- Berekum Chelsea v Debibi United — match page
- Hearts of Oak vs Port City — team news & stats
- Medeama v Heart of Lions — match page
- Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars — team news & stats
- Young Apostles vs Aduana Stars
Before and after this match
Karela vs Dreams markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 45.6% | 2.19 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.82 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 45.6% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| Dreams | 25.5% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 74.5% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 54.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karela win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Karela vs Dreams stats
Karela vs Dreams head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Dreams | Karela | Ghana Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Karela | Dreams | Ghana Premier League | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.