Karela
vs
Dreams
1 – 0 Full time
| 22′ | M. Abubakar |
Karela vs Dreams overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Karela vs Dreams
| Probability | Karela | Draw | Dreams |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 45.6% | 28.9% | 25.5% |
| Market | 60.2% | 25.4% | 14.4% |
| Final | 56.6% | 26.3% | 17.2% |
| Edge | -3.6% | +0.9% | +2.8% |
Why Karela
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.45 vs 1.03.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Karela and Dreams expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.49
Karela and Dreams attack and defence ratings
Karela
Dreams
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Karela vs Dreams: result vs prediction
Karela 1 – 0 Dreams
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
Karela vs Dreams markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 56.6% | 1.77 | -3.6% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 54.8% | 1.83 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% | 1.21 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 54.4% | 1.84 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Karela | 56.6% |
| Draw | 26.3% | |
| Dreams | 17.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 45.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 54.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 50.5% |
| No | 49.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 82.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.7% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 43.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | Karela win | 23.1% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 54.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-0 | 10.9% | |
| 0-0 | 9.6% |
Karela vs Dreams stats
Karela and Dreams recent form
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Karela and Dreams going into this match
Karela record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
Dreams record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
Karela vs Dreams head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Dreams | Karela | Ghana Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-09 | Karela | Dreams | Ghana Premier League | 1-1 |
| 2025-04-27 | Karela | Dreams | Premier League | 1-2 |
| 2024-11-24 | Dreams | Karela | Premier League | 0-1 |
| 2024-06-02 | Dreams | Karela | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2024-01-17 | Karela | Dreams | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2023-03-04 | Dreams | Karela | Premier League | 0-0 |
| 2022-09-25 | Karela | Dreams | Premier League | 2-0 |
| 2022-04-17 | Karela | Dreams | Premier League | 1-0 |
| 2021-12-15 | Dreams | Karela | Premier League | 3-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Karela vs Dreams odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 60.2%, draw 25.4%, away 14.4%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.49 | 3.54 | 6.44 |
| Bet365 | 1.48 | 3.50 | 6.50 |
| Betano | 1.53 | 3.45 | 6.00 |
| Betfair | 1.50 | 3.60 | 6.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.55 | 3.60 | 6.40 |
| Marathonbet | 1.48 | 3.54 | 6.10 |