Bibiani Gold Stars
vs
Basake Holy Stars
Garuda Lions Prediction: Bibiani Gold Stars
2 – 0 Predicted score · 13% model probability
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars
| Probability | Bibiani Gold Stars | Draw | Basake Holy Stars |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 64.9% | 22.4% | 12.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 64.9% | 22.4% | 12.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Bibiani Gold Stars
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.99 vs 0.77.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars match preview
Bibiani Gold Stars enter this match with a 65% probability of winning, bolstered by their recent form of one win in the last three matches. Their expected goals stand at 1.99, suggesting a strong attacking presence, while their defense will aim to contain Basake Holy Stars, who have an expected goals figure of 0.77. The most likely scoreline is 2-0 in favor of Bibiani Gold Stars, which aligns with a 52% probability for over 2.5 goals in the match.
Basake Holy Stars, on the other hand, have struggled recently, recording only one win in their last six outings. Their head-to-head record against Bibiani Gold Stars is evenly matched with one win each in their last two encounters. The model suggests a 22% chance of a draw, indicating that while Bibiani Gold Stars are favored, Basake Holy Stars could pose a challenge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Bibiani Gold Stars and Basake Holy Stars expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.76
Bibiani Gold Stars and Basake Holy Stars attack and defence ratings
Bibiani Gold Stars
Basake Holy Stars
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
Before and after this match
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 64.9% | 1.54 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% | 1.92 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 52.6% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% | 1.14 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Bibiani Gold Stars win | 40.9% | 2.45 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Bibiani Gold Stars | 64.9% |
| Draw | 22.4% | |
| Basake Holy Stars | 12.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 52.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 47.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 47.4% |
| No | 52.6% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 87.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 77.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 35.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | Bibiani Gold Stars win | 40.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.1% | |
| Loss | 35.1% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-0 | 12.5% |
| 1-0 | 11.6% | |
| 1-1 | 10.7% |
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars stats
Bibiani Gold Stars and Basake Holy Stars recent form
| Bibiani Gold Stars |
DLWLLW |
| Basake Holy Stars |
WLWLWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Bibiani Gold Stars vs Basake Holy Stars head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-15 | Bibiani Gold Stars | Basake Holy Stars | Ghana Premier League | 3-0 |
| 2025-11-09 | Basake Holy Stars | Bibiani Gold Stars | Ghana Premier League | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.