Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 6

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United

Garuda Lions Prediction: Berekum Chelsea

1 – 0 Predicted score Β· 12% model probability

Golden City Park, Berekum

Berekum Chelsea 57%
Draw 26%
Debibi United 17%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Berekum Chelsea wins
57%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
91%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
48%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
12% of simulated outcomes

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityBerekum ChelseaDrawDebibi United
Model56.9%26.0%17.1%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final56.9%26.0%17.1%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Berekum Chelsea

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.71 vs 0.84.
  • Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 6 vs 1 for the opposition.

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United match preview

Berekum Chelsea will face Debibi United in the Ghana Premier League on October 11, 2026. The match sees Berekum Chelsea with a 57% probability of winning, while Debibi United has a 17% chance, and a draw stands at 26%. The expected goals for Berekum Chelsea is 1.71, compared to Debibi United's 0.84, suggesting a potential advantage for the home side.

Recent form indicates mixed results for both teams, with Berekum Chelsea recording a sequence of L-D-L-W-L-W, and Debibi United showing L-L-W-L-D. The most likely scoreline is predicted to be 1-0 in favor of Berekum Chelsea, with a 12% probability. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is at 47%, while both teams scoring is at 48%.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Berekum Chelse ↓ / Debibi United β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 9% 1 12% 12% 2 11% 10% 3 7% 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 91%
2+ goals 73%
3+ goals 47%
No goals 9%

Berekum Chelsea and Debibi United expected goals

Berekum Chelsea 1.71
Debibi United 0.84

Total expected goals: 2.55

Berekum Chelsea and Debibi United attack and defence ratings

Berekum Chelsea

Attack 1.15 +15%
Defence 1.19 +19%

Debibi United

Attack 1.05 +5%
Defence 1.08 +8%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Berekum Chelsea 56.9% 1.76 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 53.2% 1.88 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 52.4% 1.91 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.9% 1.21 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 43.1% 2.32 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Berekum Chelsea56.9%
Draw26.0%
Debibi United17.1%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.546.8%
Under 2.553.2%
Both teams to scoreYes47.6%
No52.4%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.9%
12 (either side)74.0%
X2 (draw or away)43.1%
Handicap -1Berekum Chelsea win32.5%
Push (exactly one goal)24.4%
Loss43.1%
Correct score (top 3)1-112.3%
1-012.3%
2-011.4%

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United stats

Berekum Chelsea and Debibi United recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards β€” these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Berekum Chelsea vs Debibi United odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Berekum Chelsea Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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