Hearts of Oak
vs
Port City
Garuda Lions Prediction: Hearts of Oak
1 – 0 Predicted score · 20% model probability
Hearts of Oak vs Port City overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Hearts of Oak vs Port City
| Probability | Hearts of Oak | Draw | Port City |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.1% | 33.5% | 16.4% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.1% | 33.5% | 16.4% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Hearts of Oak
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.56.
Hearts of Oak vs Port City match preview
Hearts of Oak will face Port City in the Ghana Premier League on October 11, 2026. The model gives Hearts of Oak a 50% chance of winning, while Port City has a 16% chance, with a 34% probability for a draw. The expected goals for Hearts of Oak stand at 1.18, compared to Port City's 0.56, indicating a potential advantage for the home side.
In terms of recent form, Hearts of Oak has recorded two draws, one loss, and three wins in their last six matches, while Port City has achieved three wins, one loss, and one draw in the same period. The most likely scoreline predicted is 1-0 in favor of Hearts of Oak, with a 20% likelihood. The probabilities suggest a lower chance for over 2.5 goals at 25% and for both teams to score at 31%.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Hearts of Oak and Port City expected goals
Total expected goals: 1.74
Hearts of Oak and Port City attack and defence ratings
Hearts of Oak
Port City
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
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- Karela vs Dreams
- Medeama v Heart of Lions — match page
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Before and after this match
Hearts of Oak vs Port City markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hearts of Oak | 50.1% | 2.00 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 74.6% | 1.34 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 69.1% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% | 1.20 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.00 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Hearts of Oak | 50.1% |
| Draw | 33.5% | |
| Port City | 16.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 25.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 74.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 30.9% |
| No | 69.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 83.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 66.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | Hearts of Oak win | 22.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 27.2% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-0 | 19.5% |
| 0-0 | 18.7% | |
| 1-1 | 12.8% |
Hearts of Oak vs Port City stats
Hearts of Oak and Port City recent form
| Hearts of Oak |
DLDWWW |
| Port City |
WLWWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.