Ghana Premier League · Full time ·Matchday 6

Hearts of Oak vs Port City

1 – 0 Full time

20′F. Duku
27′M. Ankumah-AnsahS. Aryee Baabu
46′Port City
75′Hearts of Oak
90′Hearts of Oak

WAFA Park, Sogakope

Hearts of Oak 50%
Draw 34%
Port City 16%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Hearts of Oak vs Port City overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Hearts of Oak vs Port City

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityHearts of OakDrawPort City
Model50.1%33.5%16.4%
Market———
Final50.1%33.5%16.4%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Hearts of Oak

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.18 vs 0.56.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Hearts of Oak ↓ / Port City → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 19% 1 20% 13% 2 12% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 81%
2+ goals 53%
3+ goals 25%
No goals 19%

Hearts of Oak and Port City expected goals

Hearts of Oak 1.18
Port City 0.56

Total expected goals: 1.74

Hearts of Oak and Port City attack and defence ratings

Hearts of Oak

Attack 0.96 -4%
Defence 0.64 -36%

Port City

Attack 1.30 +30%
Defence 0.89 -11%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Hearts of Oak vs Port City: result vs prediction

Hearts of Oak 1 – 0 Port City

MarketOutcome
1X2 pick✓ Correct
Over/Under 2.5 pick✓ Correct
BTTS pick✓ Correct

Other Matchday 6 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Hearts of Oak vs Port City markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Hearts of Oak 50.1% 2.00 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 74.6% 1.34 — —
Both teams to score No 69.1% 1.45 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 83.6% 1.20 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 49.9% 2.00 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Hearts of Oak50.1%
Draw33.5%
Port City16.4%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.525.4%
Under 2.574.6%
Both teams to scoreYes30.9%
No69.1%
Double chance1X (home or draw)83.6%
12 (either side)66.5%
X2 (draw or away)49.9%
Handicap -1Hearts of Oak win22.9%
Push (exactly one goal)27.2%
Loss49.9%
Correct score (top 3)1-019.5%
0-018.7%
1-112.8%

Hearts of Oak vs Port City stats

Hearts of Oak and Port City recent form

newest first
Hearts of Oak DLDWWW
Port City WLWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Hearts of Oak and Port City going into this match

league record before kick-off

Hearts of Oak record

  • They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.

Port City record

  • They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.

Hearts of Oak vs Port City head-to-head

No recent meetings on record

Our head-to-head history covers these clubs' top-flight matches from 2014 onwards — these two simply haven't crossed paths in that window (newly promoted sides and cross-division pairings are the usual reason). The prediction doesn't rely on H2H: it is built from each team's current expected-goals ratings.

Hearts of Oak vs Port City odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.