Ghana Premier League · ·Matchday 11

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea

Garuda Lions Prediction: Swedru All Blacks

1 – 0 Predicted score · 15% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.74.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Swedru Stadium, Agona Swedru

Swedru All Blacks 53%
Draw 29%
Berekum Chelsea 18%

Confidence: Low  ·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Swedru All Blacks wins
53%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
88%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
42%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
1 – 0
15% of simulated outcomes

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySwedru All BlacksDrawBerekum Chelsea
Model53.4%28.9%17.7%
Market———
Final53.4%28.9%17.7%
Edge———

Confidence: Low

Why Swedru All Blacks

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.47 vs 0.74.

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea match preview

Swedru All Blacks will host Berekum Chelsea in the Ghana Premier League on November 15, 2026. The model indicates a 57% probability of a Swedru All Blacks victory, with a most likely scoreline of 1-0 at 15%. Swedru All Blacks have shown mixed recent form with two wins and a draw in their last six matches, while Berekum Chelsea has a similar trend with two wins and two draws.

In terms of expected goals, Swedru All Blacks are projected to score 1.56, compared to Berekum Chelsea's 0.69. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 39%, while both teams scoring stands at 41%. Historically, in their last two encounters, Swedru All Blacks have secured one win and one draw against Berekum Chelsea, who have yet to win in this matchup.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Swedru All Bla ↓ / Berekum Chelse → 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 12% 1 15% 13% 2 12% 9% 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 88%
2+ goals 66%
3+ goals 38%
No goals 12%

Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea expected goals

Swedru All Blacks 1.47
Berekum Chelsea 0.74

Total expected goals: 2.22

Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea attack and defence ratings

Swedru All Blacks

Attack 1.08 +8%
Defence 0.94 -6%

Berekum Chelsea

Attack 1.20 +20%
Defence 1.00 +0%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Swedru All Blacks 53.4% 1.87 — —
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 61.8% 1.62 — —
Both teams to score No 58.3% 1.71 — —
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 82.3% 1.22 — —
Handicap -1 Loss 46.6% 2.14 — —

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Swedru All Blacks53.4%
Draw28.9%
Berekum Chelsea17.7%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.538.2%
Under 2.561.8%
Both teams to scoreYes41.7%
No58.3%
Double chance1X (home or draw)82.3%
12 (either side)71.1%
X2 (draw or away)46.6%
Handicap -1Swedru All Blacks win28.0%
Push (exactly one goal)25.4%
Loss46.6%
Correct score (top 3)1-014.8%
1-113.1%
0-012.1%

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea stats

Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea recent form

newest first

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Swedru All Blacks and Berekum Chelsea season so far

league record

Swedru All Blacks record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.9 goals per match.
  • They average 1.2 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 3 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Berekum Chelsea record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 3 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea head-to-head

Last 2 meetings

1Swedru All Blacks wins 1Draws 0Berekum Chelsea wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-01-18Berekum ChelseaSwedru All BlacksGhana Premier League0-0
2025-09-21Swedru All BlacksBerekum ChelseaGhana Premier League3-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Swedru All Blacks vs Berekum Chelsea odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 1 Swedru All Blacks Predicted score 1 – 0 Low Bet Now
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