Ghana Premier League Β· Β·Matchday 11

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak

Garuda Lions Prediction: Draw

0 – 0 Predicted score Β· 27% model probability

  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.

Samartex Park, Tarkwa

Samartex 29%
Draw 42%
Hearts of Oak 29%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance of a draw
42%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
73%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
25%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 0
27% of simulated outcomes

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Samartex vs Hearts of Oak

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilitySamartexDrawHearts of Oak
Model29.4%41.7%28.9%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final29.4%41.7%28.9%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak match preview

Samartex faces Hearts of Oak in a Ghana Premier League matchup on November 15, 2026. According to our model, Samartex has a 37% chance of winning, while a draw is at 43% and Hearts of Oak at 20%. The most likely scoreline is 0-0, with a 31% probability. Expected goals for Samartex stand at 0.74, compared to Hearts of Oak's 0.46, indicating a potentially low-scoring affair.

In terms of recent form, Samartex has recorded a mixed bag of results with two wins, two draws, and a loss in their last five matches. Hearts of Oak has had a stronger run, with three wins, one draw, and two losses in their recent outings. The head-to-head record shows both teams with one win each in their last two encounters, suggesting a competitive match ahead.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Samartex ↓ / Hearts of Oak β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 27% 16% 1 16% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 73%
2+ goals 40%
3+ goals 15%
No goals 27%

Samartex and Hearts of Oak expected goals

Samartex 0.67
Hearts of Oak 0.67

Total expected goals: 1.34

Samartex and Hearts of Oak attack and defence ratings

Samartex

Attack 0.95 -5%
Defence 0.91 -9%

Hearts of Oak

Attack 1.11 +11%
Defence 0.52 -48%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Ghana Premier League

Before and after this match

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Draw 41.7% 2.40 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 84.8% 1.18 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 75.0% 1.33 β€” β€”
Double chance 1X (home or draw) 71.1% 1.41 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 70.6% 1.42 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Samartex29.4%
Draw41.7%
Hearts of Oak28.9%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.515.2%
Under 2.584.8%
Both teams to scoreYes25.0%
No75.0%
Double chance1X (home or draw)71.1%
12 (either side)58.3%
X2 (draw or away)70.6%
Handicap -1Samartex win8.7%
Push (exactly one goal)20.7%
Loss70.6%
Correct score (top 3)0-027.3%
1-016.5%
0-116.3%

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak stats

Samartex and Hearts of Oak recent form

newest first
Samartex LWDWLW
Hearts of Oak WLWWWD

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Samartex and Hearts of Oak season so far

league record

Samartex record

  • They have won 5 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.1 goals per match.
  • They average 1.6 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.

Hearts of Oak record

  • They have won 6 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.2 goals per match.
  • They average 1.8 goals per game at home against 0.6 on the road.
  • They have kept 7 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak head-to-head

Last 8 meetings

3Samartex wins 3Draws 2Hearts of Oak wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-05-17SamartexHearts of OakGhana Premier League1-0
2025-12-26Hearts of OakSamartexGhana Premier League1-0
2025-06-08Hearts of OakSamartexPremier League1-0
2025-01-19SamartexHearts of OakPremier League0-0
2024-03-23SamartexHearts of OakPremier League2-1
2023-10-21Hearts of OakSamartexPremier League0-0
2023-05-07SamartexHearts of OakPremier League3-2
2023-01-15Hearts of OakSamartexPremier League0-0

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Samartex vs Hearts of Oak odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot X Draw Predicted score 0 – 0 Low Bet Now
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