Kosovo Superliga Β· Β·Matchday 11

Vushtrria vs Ballkani

Garuda Lions Prediction: Ballkani

0 – 1 Predicted score Β· 16% model probability

  • WhyHigher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.70.
  • RiskNo bookmaker prices recorded yet, so this pick has not been checked against the market.
Vushtrria 19%
Draw 31%
Ballkani 50%

Confidence: Low  Β·  model-only, no market odds

Chance Ballkani wins
50%
most likely outcome
Chance of a goal
85%
at least one goal in the match
Both teams score
38%
goals at both ends
Most likely score with our pick
0 – 1
16% of simulated outcomes

Vushtrria vs Ballkani overview

Garuda Lions analysis: Vushtrria vs Ballkani

model vs market on the 1X2
ProbabilityVushtrriaDrawBallkani
Model18.8%31.2%50.0%
Marketβ€”β€”β€”
Final18.8%31.2%50.0%
Edgeβ€”β€”β€”

Confidence: Low

Why Ballkani

  • Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.31 vs 0.70.

Vushtrria vs Ballkani match preview

Vushtrria faces Ballkani in the Kosovo Superliga on October 24, 2026. According to our model, Vushtrria has a 19% chance of winning, while Ballkani is favored with a 50% probability. The most likely scoreline is 0-1, occurring at a rate of 16%. Vushtrria's recent form shows a string of losses, with their last five matches resulting in two wins and three losses, while Ballkani has also struggled, recording two wins, three losses, and one draw in their last six games.

In terms of expected goals, Vushtrria is projected to score 0.70, whereas Ballkani is expected to net 1.31. The likelihood of over 2.5 goals is estimated at 33%, and both teams scoring sits at 38%. The confidence grade for this match is rated as C, indicating moderate certainty in the predictions.

Scoreline probability

model grid

Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.

Vushtrria ↓ / Ballkani β†’ 0 1 2 3 4+ 0 15% 16% 11% 1 8% 14% 2 3 4+

Goal probability

Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.

1+ goals 85%
2+ goals 61%
3+ goals 33%
No goals 15%

Vushtrria and Ballkani expected goals

Vushtrria 0.70
Ballkani 1.31

Total expected goals: 2.01

Vushtrria and Ballkani attack and defence ratings

Vushtrria

Attack 0.60 -40%
Defence 1.40 +40%

Ballkani

Attack 0.78 -22%
Defence 0.83 -17%

Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.

Other Matchday 11 fixtures

Kosovo Superliga

Before and after this match

Vushtrria vs Ballkani markets

Best value

the model's strongest selection per market
MarketModel pickProbabilityFair oddsEdgeBest price
1X2 Ballkani 50.0% 2.00 β€” β€”
Over/Under 2.5 Under 2.5 67.3% 1.49 β€” β€”
Both teams to score No 61.9% 1.62 β€” β€”
Double chance X2 (draw or away) 81.2% 1.23 β€” β€”
Handicap -1 Loss 50.0% 2.00 β€” β€”

Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.

All probabilities

all probabilities from one model grid
MarketSelectionProbability
1X2Vushtrria18.8%
Draw31.2%
Ballkani50.0%
Over/Under 2.5Over 2.532.7%
Under 2.567.3%
Both teams to scoreYes38.1%
No61.9%
Double chance1X (home or draw)50.0%
12 (either side)68.8%
X2 (draw or away)81.2%
Handicap -1Ballkani win24.3%
Push (exactly one goal)25.7%
Loss50.0%
Correct score (top 3)0-116.3%
0-014.6%
1-113.5%

Vushtrria vs Ballkani stats

Vushtrria and Ballkani recent form

newest first
Vushtrria LLWLLL
Ballkani LLWLDL

W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.

Vushtrria and Ballkani season so far

league record

Vushtrria record

  • They have won 1 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 0.5 goals per match.
  • They have failed to score in 5 of 10 matches.

Ballkani record

  • They have won 4 of their 10 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
  • They have kept 4 clean sheets in 10 matches.
  • They have failed to score in 4 of 10 matches.
  • Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.

Vushtrria vs Ballkani head-to-head

Last 4 meetings

1Vushtrria wins 0Draws 3Ballkani wins
DateHomeAwayCompetitionScore
2026-08-22BallkaniVushtrriaKosovo Superliga2-1
2020-06-29BallkaniVushtrriaSuperliga3-1
2019-12-02VushtrriaBallkaniSuperliga1-0
2019-09-23BallkaniVushtrriaSuperliga5-2

League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.

Vushtrria vs Ballkani odds

No bookmaker odds yet

Bookmakers usually price a fixture ~14 days before kickoff. We record snapshots twice a day, so the comparison table and price movement will appear here as soon as the market opens. Until then every probability on this page is model-only.

Prediction snapshot 2 Ballkani Predicted score 0 – 1 Low Bet Now
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