National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
FC Differdange 03
vs
UN Kaerjeng 97
4 – 1 Full time
| 3′ | A. Benedict | ||
| 42′ | A. Benedict | ||
| 64′ | S. Melhor | ||
| 69′ | S. Kabungwe | ||
| 78′ | J. Grbic |
FC Differdange 03
66%
Draw
20%
UN Kaerjeng 97
14%
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97
| Probability | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | UN Kaerjeng 97 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 51.1% | 25.2% | 23.8% |
| Market | 70.8% | 18.1% | 11.1% |
| Final | 65.8% | 19.9% | 14.3% |
| Edge | -19.7% | +7.1% | +12.6% |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.81 vs 1.18.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
94%
2+ goals
81%
3+ goals
58%
No goals
6%
FC Differdange 03 and UN Kaerjeng 97 expected goals
FC Differdange 03
1.81
UN Kaerjeng 97
1.18
Total expected goals: 3.00
FC Differdange 03 and UN Kaerjeng 97 attack and defence ratings
FC Differdange 03
Attack
1.18 +18%
Defence
0.67 -33%
UN Kaerjeng 97
Attack
1.27 +27%
Defence
1.00 +0%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97: result vs prediction
FC Differdange 03 4 – 1 UN Kaerjeng 97
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Victoria Rosport vs US Hostert
- F91 Dudelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg — team news & stats
- Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange
- Swift Hesperange v Etzella Ettelbruck — match page
- Atert Bissen vs US Mondorf-les-bains — team news & stats
- Résidence Walferdange vs UNA Strassen
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz — team news & stats
Before and after this match
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 65.8% | 1.52 | -19.7% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% | 1.74 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% | 1.69 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% | 1.17 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 48.9% | 2.04 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 65.8% |
| Draw | 19.9% | |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 | 14.3% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 57.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 42.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 59.1% |
| No | 40.9% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 85.7% |
| 12 (either side) | 80.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 34.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 29.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 21.9% | |
| Loss | 48.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.8% |
| 2-1 | 9.7% | |
| 2-0 | 8.2% |
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97 stats
FC Differdange 03 and UN Kaerjeng 97 recent form
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWWWLL |
| UN Kaerjeng 97 |
WWLWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Differdange 03 and UN Kaerjeng 97 going into this match
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
UN Kaerjeng 97 record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.3 goals per match.
- They average 3.7 goals per game at home against 1.0 on the road.
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97 head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
8FC Differdange 03 wins
2Draws
0UN Kaerjeng 97 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-17 | FC Differdange 03 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-12-07 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-03-12 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | FC Differdange 03 | Cup | 0-4 |
| 2024-02-25 | FC Differdange 03 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2023-08-27 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2023-04-08 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-8 |
| 2022-10-23 | FC Differdange 03 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 2-2 |
| 2017-05-07 | FC Differdange 03 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 6-2 |
| 2016-12-04 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 3-5 |
| 2015-03-15 | FC Differdange 03 | UN Kaerjeng 97 | National Division | 5-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Differdange 03 vs UN Kaerjeng 97 odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 70.8%, draw 18.1%, away 11.1%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 1.28 | 4.90 | 8.55 |
| Bet365 | 1.25 | 5.50 | 8.00 |
| Marathonbet | 1.27 | 4.90 | 8.20 |
| Pinnacle | 1.31 | 5.08 | 7.48 |