National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 6
Progres Niederkorn
vs
US Rumelange
3 – 0 Full time
| 20′ | J. Costa | ||
| 82′ | I. Baradji | ||
| 90′ | I. Baradji |
Progres Niederkorn
54%
Draw
22%
US Rumelange
24%
Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange
| Probability | Progres Niederkorn | Draw | US Rumelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 53.8% | 22.0% | 24.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 53.8% | 22.0% | 24.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Progres Niederkorn
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.20 vs 1.45.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
97%
2+ goals
89%
3+ goals
71%
No goals
3%
Progres Niederkorn and US Rumelange expected goals
Progres Niederkorn
2.20
US Rumelange
1.45
Total expected goals: 3.65
Progres Niederkorn and US Rumelange attack and defence ratings
Progres Niederkorn
Attack
1.02 +2%
Defence
0.97 -3%
US Rumelange
Attack
1.07 +7%
Defence
1.40 +40%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange: result vs prediction
Progres Niederkorn 3 – 0 US Rumelange
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 6 fixtures
- Victoria Rosport vs US Hostert
- F91 Dudelange vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg — team news & stats
- FC Differdange 03 v UN Kaerjeng 97 — match page
- Swift Hesperange v Etzella Ettelbruck — match page
- Atert Bissen vs US Mondorf-les-bains — team news & stats
- Résidence Walferdange vs UNA Strassen
- AS Jeunesse Esch vs Wiltz — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% | 1.45 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 78.0% | 1.28 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 46.2% | 2.16 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 53.8% |
| Draw | 22.0% | |
| US Rumelange | 24.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 70.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 29.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.9% |
| No | 31.1% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 75.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.0% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 46.2% | |
| Handicap -1 | Progres Niederkorn win | 33.4% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.4% | |
| Loss | 46.2% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 2-1 | 9.1% |
| 1-1 | 9.1% | |
| 3-1 | 6.7% |
Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange stats
Progres Niederkorn and US Rumelange recent form
| Progres Niederkorn |
LLWWWL |
| US Rumelange |
LLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Progres Niederkorn and US Rumelange going into this match
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
US Rumelange record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
Progres Niederkorn vs US Rumelange head-to-head
Last 10 meetings
9Progres Niederkorn wins
0Draws
1US Rumelange wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-10 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2023-04-12 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | Cup | 1-3 |
| 2019-05-19 | Progres Niederkorn | US Rumelange | National Division | 3-0 |
| 2018-08-05 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-1 |
| 2017-02-19 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-3 |
| 2016-08-19 | Progres Niederkorn | US Rumelange | National Division | 4-0 |
| 2016-04-03 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 0-4 |
| 2015-09-19 | Progres Niederkorn | US Rumelange | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2015-05-17 | Progres Niederkorn | US Rumelange | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2014-11-23 | US Rumelange | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-4 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.