US Mondorf-les-bains
vs
Progres Niederkorn
2 – 1 Full time
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn
| Probability | US Mondorf-les-bains | Draw | Progres Niederkorn |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 50.6% | 26.7% | 22.7% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 50.6% | 26.7% | 22.7% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Mondorf-les-bains
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.66 vs 1.05.
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.71
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn attack and defence ratings
US Mondorf-les-bains
Progres Niederkorn
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn: result vs prediction
US Mondorf-les-bains 2 – 1 Progres Niederkorn
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
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- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Swift Hesperange — team news & stats
- US Hostert v FC Differdange 03 — match page
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange
- UNA Strassen v Atert Bissen — match page
Before and after this match
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 50.6% | 1.98 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% | 1.96 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% | 1.86 | — | — |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% | 1.29 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.4% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 50.6% |
| Draw | 26.7% | |
| Progres Niederkorn | 22.7% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 50.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 49.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.8% |
| No | 46.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 77.3% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 49.4% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win | 27.8% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.8% | |
| Loss | 49.4% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 12.7% |
| 1-0 | 9.9% | |
| 2-1 | 9.6% |
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn stats
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn recent form
| US Mondorf-les-bains |
WWWWDL |
| Progres Niederkorn |
LWWWLL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains and Progres Niederkorn going into this match
US Mondorf-les-bains record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-08 | US Mondorf-les-bains | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 1-0 |
| 2025-08-09 | Progres Niederkorn | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 1-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.