AS Jeunesse Esch
vs
US Mondorf-les-bains
1 – 3 Full time
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains overview
Garuda Lions analysis: AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains
| Probability | AS Jeunesse Esch | Draw | US Mondorf-les-bains |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 20.2% | 29.3% | 50.4% |
| Market | 19.7% | 25.9% | 54.3% |
| Final | 19.9% | 26.8% | 53.4% |
| Edge | +0.5% | +3.4% | -3.9% |
Why US Mondorf-les-bains
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.44 vs 0.83.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
AS Jeunesse Esch and US Mondorf-les-bains expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.27
AS Jeunesse Esch and US Mondorf-les-bains attack and defence ratings
AS Jeunesse Esch
US Mondorf-les-bains
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains: result vs prediction
AS Jeunesse Esch 1 – 3 US Mondorf-les-bains
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Mondorf-les-bains | 53.4% | 1.87 | -3.9% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 60.4% | 1.66 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 55.8% | 1.79 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | 1.25 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.6% | 2.02 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | AS Jeunesse Esch | 19.9% |
| Draw | 26.8% | |
| US Mondorf-les-bains | 53.4% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 39.6% |
| Under 2.5 | 60.4% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 44.2% |
| No | 55.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 46.6% |
| 12 (either side) | 73.2% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.1% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Mondorf-les-bains win | 25.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 24.5% | |
| Loss | 49.6% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 0-1 | 13.7% |
| 1-1 | 13.6% | |
| 0-0 | 11.6% |
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains stats
AS Jeunesse Esch and US Mondorf-les-bains recent form
| AS Jeunesse Esch |
LLLWWL |
| US Mondorf-les-bains |
WWWDLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch and US Mondorf-les-bains going into this match
AS Jeunesse Esch record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
US Mondorf-les-bains record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.4 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-04-12 | US Mondorf-les-bains | AS Jeunesse Esch | National Division | 1-1 |
| 2025-10-19 | AS Jeunesse Esch | US Mondorf-les-bains | National Division | 2-0 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
AS Jeunesse Esch vs US Mondorf-les-bains odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.7%, draw 25.9%, away 54.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 4.80 | 3.45 | 1.67 |
| 1xBet | 4.99 | 3.54 | 1.62 |
| Bet365 | 4.10 | 3.60 | 1.67 |
| Betano | 4.45 | 3.30 | 1.72 |
| Betfair | 4.60 | 3.60 | 1.65 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 3.50 | 1.74 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 3.54 | 1.60 |
| Pinnacle | 4.63 | 3.58 | 1.68 |
| Superbet | 4.40 | 3.35 | 1.70 |
| Unibet | 4.50 | 3.40 | 1.67 |
| William Hill | 4.60 | 3.25 | 1.67 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .