National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 4
F91 Dudelange
vs
US Rumelange
3 – 2 Full time
F91 Dudelange
34%
Draw
29%
US Rumelange
36%
F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange
| Probability | F91 Dudelange | Draw | US Rumelange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 34.4% | 29.4% | 36.2% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 34.4% | 29.4% | 36.2% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why US Rumelange
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 3 vs 1 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
91%
2+ goals
73%
3+ goals
46%
No goals
9%
F91 Dudelange and US Rumelange expected goals
F91 Dudelange
1.24
US Rumelange
1.28
Total expected goals: 2.52
F91 Dudelange and US Rumelange attack and defence ratings
F91 Dudelange
Attack
0.82 -18%
Defence
0.95 -5%
US Rumelange
Attack
0.99 -1%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange: result vs prediction
F91 Dudelange 3 – 2 US Rumelange
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Progres Niederkorn v UNA Strassen — match page
- FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- AS Jeunesse Esch v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz — team news & stats
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- Swift Hesperange v US Hostert — match page
- Résidence Walferdange vs Atert Bissen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Rumelange | 36.2% | 2.76 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 53.9% | 1.85 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% | 1.90 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 70.6% | 1.42 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 63.8% | 1.57 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | F91 Dudelange | 34.4% |
| Draw | 29.4% | |
| US Rumelange | 36.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 46.1% |
| Under 2.5 | 53.9% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 52.5% |
| No | 47.5% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 63.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 70.6% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 65.6% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Rumelange win | 16.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.7% | |
| Loss | 63.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.1% |
| 0-0 | 9.3% | |
| 0-1 | 9.0% |
F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange stats
F91 Dudelange and US Rumelange recent form
| F91 Dudelange |
LLLWDL |
| US Rumelange |
WLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
F91 Dudelange and US Rumelange going into this match
F91 Dudelange record
- They have won 2 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 1.0 goals per match.
- They average 1.3 goals per game at home against 0.7 on the road.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 6 matches.
US Rumelange record
- They have won 2 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.