Swift Hesperange
vs
US Hostert
0 – 2 Full time
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert
| Probability | Swift Hesperange | Draw | US Hostert |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 19.8% | 18.0% | 62.2% |
| Market | 19.0% | 22.7% | 58.3% |
| Final | 19.2% | 21.5% | 59.2% |
| Edge | +0.8% | -4.7% | +4.0% |
Why US Hostert
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.82 vs 1.61.
- Better recent form: 3 wins in the last 6 vs 2 for the opposition.
- The market prices US Hostert below the model: +4.0 percentage points of edge.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert expected goals
Total expected goals: 4.43
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert attack and defence ratings
Swift Hesperange
US Hostert
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert: result vs prediction
Swift Hesperange 0 – 2 US Hostert
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 4 fixtures
- Progres Niederkorn v UNA Strassen — match page
- F91 Dudelange vs US Rumelange — team news & stats
- FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
- AS Jeunesse Esch v US Mondorf-les-bains — match page
- Victoria Rosport vs Wiltz — team news & stats
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs UN Kaerjeng 97
- Résidence Walferdange vs Atert Bissen — team news & stats
Before and after this match
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Hostert | 59.2% | 1.69 | +4.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.9% | 1.22 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | 1.24 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | US Hostert win | 43.2% | 2.31 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Swift Hesperange | 19.2% |
| Draw | 21.5% | |
| US Hostert | 59.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 81.9% |
| Under 2.5 | 18.1% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 75.8% |
| No | 24.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 40.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 78.5% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 80.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | US Hostert win | 43.2% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 19.0% | |
| Loss | 37.8% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-2 | 7.6% |
| 1-3 | 7.2% | |
| 2-2 | 6.2% |
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert stats
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert recent form
| Swift Hesperange |
LLLWWL |
| US Hostert |
WLLWLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Swift Hesperange and US Hostert going into this match
Swift Hesperange record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 4 of 5 matches.
US Hostert record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-10 | Swift Hesperange | US Hostert | National Division | 0-1 |
| 2025-11-30 | US Hostert | Swift Hesperange | National Division | 1-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Swift Hesperange vs US Hostert odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 19.0%, draw 22.7%, away 58.3%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 5.00 | 3.95 | 1.55 |
| 1xBet | 4.96 | 4.00 | 1.54 |
| Bet365 | 4.50 | 4.00 | 1.55 |
| Betano | 4.50 | 3.80 | 1.60 |
| Betfair | 4.75 | 4.20 | 1.53 |
| Dafabet | 4.80 | 4.00 | 1.63 |
| Marathonbet | 4.90 | 4.00 | 1.52 |
| Pinnacle | 4.62 | 4.08 | 1.57 |
| Superbet | 4.60 | 3.90 | 1.57 |
| William Hill | 4.80 | 3.60 | 1.57 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .