Progres Niederkorn
vs
UNA Strassen
0 – 1 Full time
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen
| Probability | Progres Niederkorn | Draw | UNA Strassen |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 27.6% | 31.2% | 41.1% |
| Market | 31.1% | 28.2% | 40.8% |
| Final | 30.2% | 28.9% | 40.9% |
| Edge | -3.4% | +3.1% | +0.4% |
Why UNA Strassen
- Better recent form: 4 wins in the last 6 vs 3 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen expected goals
Total expected goals: 2.23
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen attack and defence ratings
Progres Niederkorn
UNA Strassen
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen: result vs prediction
Progres Niederkorn 0 – 1 UNA Strassen
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✓ Correct |
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Before and after this match
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | UNA Strassen | 40.9% | 2.45 | +0.4% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 61.6% | 1.62 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | No | 54.2% | 1.84 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 71.1% | 1.41 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 58.9% | 1.70 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Progres Niederkorn | 30.2% |
| Draw | 28.9% | |
| UNA Strassen | 40.9% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 38.4% |
| Under 2.5 | 61.6% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 45.8% |
| No | 54.2% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 59.1% |
| 12 (either side) | 71.1% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 69.8% | |
| Handicap -1 | UNA Strassen win | 18.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.2% | |
| Loss | 58.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 14.5% |
| 0-1 | 12.2% | |
| 0-0 | 12.1% |
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen stats
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen recent form
| Progres Niederkorn |
WWWLLL |
| UNA Strassen |
WWWLLW |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
Progres Niederkorn and UNA Strassen going into this match
Progres Niederkorn record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 1.6 goals per match.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
UNA Strassen record
- They have won 5 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.0 goals per match.
- They have kept 4 clean sheets in 5 matches.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 5 matches.
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | UNA Strassen | Progres Niederkorn | National Division | 2-0 |
| 2025-09-13 | Progres Niederkorn | UNA Strassen | National Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
Progres Niederkorn vs UNA Strassen odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 31.1%, draw 28.2%, away 40.8%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1xBet | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.25 |
| Bet365 | 2.88 | 3.40 | 2.10 |
| Betano | 2.92 | 3.15 | 2.22 |
| Betfair | 2.90 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Dafabet | 3.20 | 3.35 | 2.18 |
| Marathonbet | 2.84 | 3.20 | 2.23 |
| Pinnacle | 2.84 | 3.37 | 2.26 |
| Superbet | 3.05 | 3.20 | 2.15 |
| Unibet | 3.00 | 3.00 | 2.23 |
| William Hill | 2.80 | 3.10 | 2.20 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .