FC Differdange 03
vs
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
3 – 0 Full time
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg overview
Garuda Lions analysis: FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Probability | FC Differdange 03 | Draw | Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 29.3% | 24.9% | 45.8% |
| Market | 54.4% | 24.7% | 21.0% |
| Final | 48.1% | 24.7% | 27.2% |
| Edge | -25.0% | +0.2% | +24.9% |
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg expected goals
Total expected goals: 3.24
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg attack and defence ratings
FC Differdange 03
Racing FC Union Luxembourg
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg: result vs prediction
FC Differdange 03 3 – 0 Racing FC Union Luxembourg
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✓ Correct |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
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Before and after this match
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 48.1% | 2.08 | -25.0% | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% | 1.59 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% | 1.55 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 75.3% | 1.33 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 70.7% | 1.41 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 48.1% |
| Draw | 24.7% | |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg | 27.2% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 62.8% |
| Under 2.5 | 37.2% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 64.6% |
| No | 35.4% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 72.8% |
| 12 (either side) | 75.3% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 51.9% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 13.7% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 15.7% | |
| Loss | 70.7% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 11.2% |
| 1-2 | 9.2% | |
| 2-1 | 7.2% |
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg stats
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg recent form
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWLLDL |
| Racing FC Union Luxembourg |
WWWWWL |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
FC Differdange 03 and Racing FC Union Luxembourg going into this match
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
Racing FC Union Luxembourg record
- They have won 4 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.7 goals per match.
- They average 4.0 goals per game at home against 1.3 on the road.
- Their longest winning run this season stretches to 3 matches.
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-14 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-2 |
| 2025-10-29 | FC Differdange 03 | Racing FC Union Luxembourg | National Division | 5-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.
FC Differdange 03 vs Racing FC Union Luxembourg odds
Odds comparison
Median de-vigged market: home 54.4%, draw 24.7%, away 21.0%.
| Bookmaker | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10Bet | 1.64 | 3.75 | 4.60 |
| 1xBet | 1.64 | 3.68 | 4.58 |
| Bet365 | 1.62 | 3.80 | 4.10 |
| Betano | 1.70 | 3.60 | 4.15 |
| Betfair | 1.57 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| Dafabet | 1.70 | 3.85 | 4.50 |
| Marathonbet | 1.62 | 3.68 | 4.50 |
| Pinnacle | 1.68 | 3.77 | 4.30 |
| Superbet | 1.67 | 3.65 | 4.25 |
| Unibet | 1.68 | 3.55 | 4.20 |
| William Hill | 1.67 | 3.40 | 4.33 |
Odds movement
Median book price at each recorded snapshot, oldest to latest.
2 snapshots recorded, from .