National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
US Hostert
vs
FC Differdange 03
0 – 2 Full time
US Hostert
27%
Draw
23%
FC Differdange 03
50%
US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 overview
Garuda Lions analysis: US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03
| Probability | US Hostert | Draw | FC Differdange 03 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 26.7% | 23.1% | 50.1% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 26.7% | 23.1% | 50.1% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why FC Differdange 03
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 2.05 vs 1.47.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
96%
2+ goals
88%
3+ goals
68%
No goals
4%
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 expected goals
US Hostert
1.47
FC Differdange 03
2.05
Total expected goals: 3.52
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 attack and defence ratings
US Hostert
Attack
1.33 +33%
Defence
1.31 +31%
FC Differdange 03
Attack
1.15 +15%
Defence
0.72 -28%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03: result vs prediction
US Hostert 0 – 2 FC Differdange 03
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
- Racing FC Union Luxembourg vs Victoria Rosport
- US Rumelange v AS Jeunesse Esch — match page
- UN Kaerjeng 97 vs Swift Hesperange — team news & stats
- US Mondorf-les-bains vs Progres Niederkorn
- Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange — team news & stats
- Wiltz vs F91 Dudelange
- UNA Strassen v Atert Bissen — match page
Before and after this match
US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | FC Differdange 03 | 50.1% | 1.99 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% | 1.46 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% | 1.47 | — | — |
| Double chance | 12 (either side) | 76.9% | 1.30 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 49.9% | 2.01 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | US Hostert | 26.7% |
| Draw | 23.1% | |
| FC Differdange 03 | 50.1% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 68.3% |
| Under 2.5 | 31.7% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 68.0% |
| No | 32.0% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 49.9% |
| 12 (either side) | 76.9% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 73.3% | |
| Handicap -1 | FC Differdange 03 win | 29.9% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 20.3% | |
| Loss | 49.9% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 9.8% |
| 1-2 | 9.1% | |
| 2-2 | 6.7% |
US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 stats
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 recent form
| US Hostert |
WWLLWL |
| FC Differdange 03 |
WWWLLD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 6 completed matches.
US Hostert and FC Differdange 03 going into this match
US Hostert record
- They have won 3 of their 6 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
FC Differdange 03 record
- They have won 4 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.
- They have kept 3 clean sheets in 5 matches.
US Hostert vs FC Differdange 03 head-to-head
Last 2 meetings
0US Hostert wins
0Draws
2FC Differdange 03 wins
| Date | Home | Away | Competition | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-08 | FC Differdange 03 | US Hostert | National Division | 3-2 |
| 2025-09-14 | US Hostert | FC Differdange 03 | National Division | 0-1 |
League and cup meetings from our records and provider history.