National Division
·
Full time
·Matchday 5
Etzella Ettelbruck
vs
Résidence Walferdange
0 – 5 Full time
Etzella Ettelbruck
24%
Draw
28%
Résidence Walferdange
48%
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange overview
Garuda Lions analysis: Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange
| Probability | Etzella Ettelbruck | Draw | Résidence Walferdange |
|---|---|---|---|
| Model | 24.5% | 27.6% | 48.0% |
| Market | — | — | — |
| Final | 24.5% | 27.6% | 48.0% |
| Edge | — | — | — |
Why Résidence Walferdange
- Higher expected-goals rate in this fixture: 1.58 vs 1.06.
- Better recent form: 2 wins in the last 5 vs 0 for the opposition.
Scoreline probability
Every scoreline the model gives this fixture, 0 to 4+ goals a side. Darker means likelier.
Goal probability
Chance of the match reaching each goal total, from the same grid.
1+ goals
92%
2+ goals
75%
3+ goals
49%
No goals
8%
Etzella Ettelbruck and Résidence Walferdange expected goals
Etzella Ettelbruck
1.06
Résidence Walferdange
1.58
Total expected goals: 2.64
Etzella Ettelbruck and Résidence Walferdange attack and defence ratings
Etzella Ettelbruck
Attack
0.70 -30%
Defence
1.18 +18%
Résidence Walferdange
Attack
0.98 -2%
Defence
0.99 -1%
Attack is goals scored relative to the league average (1.00); defence is goals conceded relative to that average, so a lower defence number is better. Green means better than the league, amber worse.
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange: result vs prediction
Etzella Ettelbruck 0 – 5 Résidence Walferdange
| Market | Outcome |
|---|---|
| 1X2 pick | ✓ Correct |
| Over/Under 2.5 pick | ✗ Incorrect |
| BTTS pick | ✗ Incorrect |
Other Matchday 5 fixtures
Before and after this match
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange markets
Best value
| Market | Model pick | Probability | Fair odds | Edge | Best price |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Résidence Walferdange | 48.0% | 2.08 | — | — |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Under 2.5 | 50.8% | 1.97 | — | — |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% | 1.88 | — | — |
| Double chance | X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | 1.32 | — | — |
| Handicap -1 | Loss | 52.0% | 1.92 | — | — |
Fair odds = 1 / probability, the break-even price implied by the model. Best price is the top bookmaker quote on the 1X2 pick.
All probabilities
| Market | Selection | Probability |
|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | Etzella Ettelbruck | 24.5% |
| Draw | 27.6% | |
| Résidence Walferdange | 48.0% | |
| Over/Under 2.5 | Over 2.5 | 49.2% |
| Under 2.5 | 50.8% | |
| Both teams to score | Yes | 53.2% |
| No | 46.8% | |
| Double chance | 1X (home or draw) | 52.0% |
| 12 (either side) | 72.4% | |
| X2 (draw or away) | 75.5% | |
| Handicap -1 | Résidence Walferdange win | 25.5% |
| Push (exactly one goal) | 22.5% | |
| Loss | 52.0% | |
| Correct score (top 3) | 1-1 | 13.2% |
| 0-1 | 10.0% | |
| 1-2 | 9.4% |
Etzella Ettelbruck vs Résidence Walferdange stats
Etzella Ettelbruck and Résidence Walferdange recent form
| Etzella Ettelbruck |
LLLD |
| Résidence Walferdange |
LWLWD |
W = win, D = draw, L = loss, in each team's last 4 completed matches.
Etzella Ettelbruck and Résidence Walferdange going into this match
Etzella Ettelbruck record
- They have won 0 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 0.4 goals per match.
- They have failed to score in 3 of 5 matches.
Résidence Walferdange record
- They have won 3 of their 5 league games this season, scoring 2.2 goals per match.